Tennis · resolved market
Murcia: Miguel Damas vs Jan Choinski
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9511ecdb03071f42d21b0a6e0c9b14b6d96c57f07425cdb2bcd9c303a85463fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jan Choinskiof Miguel Damas, Jan Choinski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,453 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc37c…4e44backed Miguel Damas | 0c | 29,994$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miguel Damas | 29c | 3,999$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.28 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miguel Damas | 61c | 2,493$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.59 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Miguel Damas | 67c | 2,055$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.76 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Jan Choinski | 26c | 1,776$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.55 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Miguel Damas | 32c | 1,577$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.59 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Miguel Damas | 30c | 1,391$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.28 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Jan Choinski | 41c | 1,289$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.32 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Miguel Damas | 53c | 1,284$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.05 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Jan Choinski | 67c | 1,221$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.43 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Miguel Damas | 33c | 1,200$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.13 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked Jan Choinski | 70c | 857.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.25 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Jan Choinski | 70c | 757.13$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.14 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jan Choinski | 41c | 656.54$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.13 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jan Choinski | 48c | 649.89$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.36 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Jan Choinski | 78c | 649$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Jan Choinski | 44c | 568$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.08 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Jan Choinski | 56c | 559.49$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.22 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…c2ffbacked Jan Choinski | 33c | 538.24$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.97 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Jan Choinski | 67c | 520.63$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.63 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Jan Choinski | 69c | 507.25$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 252 | 50%126 W · 126 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Jan Choinski | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Jan Choinski | 37c | 484.22$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.65 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Miguel Damas | 42c | 480.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Jan Choinski | 68c | 442.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.86 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Jan Choinski | 69c | 434.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Miguel Damas | 30c | 420.58$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.69 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Miguel Damas | 31c | 414.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Miguel Damas | 58c | 411.8$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.04 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Miguel Damas | 14c | 399$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Miguel Damas | 32c | 394.17$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.02 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Jan Choinski | 34c | 367.04$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.79 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jan Choinski | 46c | 348.93$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.57 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Miguel Damas | 32c | 336.39$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jan Choinski | 66c | 335.22$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.87 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d98abacked Jan Choinski | 64c | 313.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.02 | 249 | 62.2%155 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Miguel Damas | 31c | 311.05$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Miguel Damas | 30c | 308.92$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Miguel Damas | 56c | 308.05$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.68 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Jan Choinski | 47c | 306.32$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.35 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Jan Choinski | 45c | 258$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Miguel Damas | 78c | 249.49$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Miguel Damas | 30c | 246$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Miguel Damas | 36c | 220$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8322…b5fbbacked Miguel Damas | 63c | 213.26$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Jan Choinski | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Miguel Damas | 36c | 206.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Jan Choinski | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76a…c5c9backed Jan Choinski | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Jan Choinski | 58c | 188.46$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Jan Choinski | 69c | 188.15$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Miguel Damas | 42c | 188$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Jan Choinski | 54c | 182.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Miguel Damas | 33c | 182.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Miguel Damas | 31c | 182.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Jan Choinski | 42c | 175$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jan Choinski | 25c | 170$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.35 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jan Choinski | 64c | 169.38$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Miguel Damas | 48c | 169.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Miguel Damas | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Miguel Damas | 64c | 160.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.17 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Miguel Damas | 35c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Jan Choinski | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Jan Choinski | 41c | 147$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Jan Choinski | 69c | 145.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Jan Choinski | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Jan Choinski | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…9d70backed Miguel Damas | 58c | 138.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x289c…79bcbacked Miguel Damas | 63c | 137.82$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Miguel Damas | 45c | 129$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Miguel Damas | 30c | 127$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miguel Damas | 54c | 125$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Miguel Damas | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Jan Choinski | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Jan Choinski | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…33a9backed Jan Choinski | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Jan Choinski | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Jan Choinski | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…b96bbacked Jan Choinski | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jan Choinski | 36c | 95.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Jan Choinski | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Miguel Damas | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Jan Choinski | 70c | 91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…a5ffbacked Miguel Damas | 32c | 85.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…8b57backed Jan Choinski | 69c | 81.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Miguel Damas | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…2e79backed Miguel Damas | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Miguel Damas | 54c | 79.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6073…2387backed Miguel Damas | 51c | 78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Miguel Damas | 30c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Jan Choinski | 69c | 65.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Miguel Damas | 74c | 65.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Miguel Damas | 36c | 65.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Jan Choinski | 42c | 65.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Jan Choinski | 66c | 64.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb13…b7f8backed Miguel Damas | 56c | 63.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Miguel Damas | 30c | 62.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Jan Choinski | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Miguel Damas | 62c | 61.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Jan Choinski | 39c | 61.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Murcia: Miguel Damas vs Jan Choinskithis page
- Damas vs. Choinski: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Damas vs. Choinski: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Miguel Damas vs. Jan Choinski: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Damas vs ChoinskiDamas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.