TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7896…c2ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT9453.2%50 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.1
Madrid Open: Caty McNally vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.1
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Koprivabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.65
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Busebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$783Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+107.1%+$838.87
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$553.69
Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+138.4%+$229.81
Madrid Open: Anna Bondar vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.92
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jongbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$254.57
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Blockxbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.47
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$450.91
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$616.64
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Zizou Bergsbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.69
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.21
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Alex Rybakovbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$354.07
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Miami Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Terence Atmanebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.24
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$910.29
Miami Open: Ben Shelton vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$256.51
Miami Open: Adam Walton vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$913Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$668.01
Miami Open: Zizou Bergs vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Open: Talia Gibson vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$696.56
Miami Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,217.37
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Miami Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$758Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+70%+$530.49
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-82.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valencia vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+152.3%+$152.33
Barcelona vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.94
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$75.94
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.92
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$382.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$173.27
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.64
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$751.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$316
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.