TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,022,393

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,022,393 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 837 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes57c282,350$161,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,234.232853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fdd…a747backed No43c225,000$96,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,749.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No43c171,197$74,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,392.822850%14 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes57c93,968$53,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,406.182755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes57c91,462$52,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,956.321346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No44c88,190$38,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,535.862560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No43c71,666$30,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,555.1838247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes65c61,335$39,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,436.8484850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes58c57,527$33,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,394.1314740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked No42c47,722$20,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,043.291250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No44c45,052$19,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,8233444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes56c45,000$25,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,8002958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No49c37,018$18,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,309.663,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No42c34,600$14,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,5322050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No42c30,369$12,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,755.145635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed No44c27,611$12,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,148.92850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No24c25,612$6,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,046.6952243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes58c23,601$13,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,996.1311242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes53c22,522$11,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,619.495135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes56c21,429$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,428.57757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c20,643$7,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,292.292,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes55c14,140$7,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3635639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No42c10,487$4,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,404.551650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes56c10,146$5,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,464.31666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes74c9,683$7,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.921163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+48.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes58c9,000$5,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7801241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes56c8,929$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.573360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes58c8,621$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.693100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No39c7,264$2,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,805.4244952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed Yes58c7,221$4,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,032.92520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No37c6,329$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.8476941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed No1c6,319$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.15258%2 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-86.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked No45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes58c5,258$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,208.5210956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1003151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Yes57c4,893$2,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.981145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes58c4,222$2,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.1814552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No42c4,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6806858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.991020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-63%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Yes58c3,971$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.021957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes56c3,743$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.481,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82eb…9287backed Yes56c3,708$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.34988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick58cpaid+66.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked No43c3,500$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5051060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No43c3,500$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5051952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No43c3,488$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes58c3,448$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.283836.8%14 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+65%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes58c3,404$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.8111443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes57c3,384$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.211973.7%14 W · 5 L+5.9wins+0.31per pick42cpaid+94.2%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes73c3,347$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.543627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes57c3,211$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.321353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32015947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdccd…a16bbacked Yes57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2901100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.978124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.961070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes58c3,000$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.933145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes57c2,921$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+50.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No42c2,848$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.9391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No43c2,809$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.7211153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0755545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.951080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+69.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked No43c2,400$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No44c2,303$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.171040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8803100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+168.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8403354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Yes56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8801346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes56c1,797$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.641050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No43c1,788$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.847354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed Yes56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.711855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.713046.7%14 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes57c1,755$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.931850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Yes57c1,692$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.62837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed Yes58c1,650$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.74650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc862…e047backed Yes58c1,647$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7211…c51bbacked Yes56c1,595$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0004…80c7backed Yes56c1,543$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Yes57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64524655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6451060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Yes57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x359d…d7ebbacked Yes55c1,466$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.311154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+51.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No42c1,398$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.962572%18 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes58c1,374$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.07666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+105.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Yes53c1,338$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Yes58c1,304$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No43c1,275$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.255356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No30c1,250$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.236033.3%20 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes75c1,217$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.6435158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes58c1,207$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.93444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Yes53c1,204$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes56c1,194$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.245048%24 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.113050%15 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Yes61c1,101$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.861353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes58c1,100$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4624353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes56c1,081$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.449852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes58c1,069$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.982161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…387fbacked Yes65c1,063$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes48c1,049$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.851233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Yes58c1,029$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.