TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b63…30d5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
180
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT6246.8%29 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.51
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.77
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.37
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.96
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$836Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$284.86
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$279.45
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$73.56
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.94
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$37.61
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$846Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$846.28
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.8
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$147.98
Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$163.73
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.99
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.63
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.52
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.71
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+119.6%+$114.78
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+168%+$295.95
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$194.85
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.06
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$651.62
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffsbacked ESC Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$360.63
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$851Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$376.4
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs B8 (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$222.96
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT4067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$349.82
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$269.73
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.22
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,391Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$396.44
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$129.48
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$76.44
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$202.33
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$183.15
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$536.54
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$229.62
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.85
Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H Moneylinebacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.68
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,364Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$642.02
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.59
Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$286.38
Suns vs. Hornets: 1H Moneylinebacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$128.6
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.61
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$437.26
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,051.12
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,643Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,291.2
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$737.1
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.39
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$852.64
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$888.26
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$119.19
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$74.25
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$162.92
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$105.23
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$151.19
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$168.03
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.13
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.14
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$69.43
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$73.38
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.6
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.1
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$995Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$535.77
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$883.56
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,738Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$692.43
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.85
LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$995
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,536Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$849.32
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$104.29
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,045.22
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,353Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$1,047.52
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,405Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,404.94
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,702Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$1,697.48
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,585Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$966.61
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,287Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$384.32
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.93
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$637.87
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$615.62
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$210.28
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$221.25
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Canucksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$86.17
Devils vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.49
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$547.25
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$154.85
Capitals vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,443Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,442.72
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,990
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$449.03
Avalanche vs. Penguinsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$249.09
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.64
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-53.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.96
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$142.11
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GLYPH (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$776.34
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.75
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,990Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,911.96
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.42
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,545Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,544.51
All 7 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.42per pick57cpaid-80.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+78.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$812.39
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$948Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$948.32
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,383Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$569.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.75
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-04-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$268.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$807Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$634
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,005.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,780.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Dplus vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playoffsbacked Dplus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.