TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
K27of K27, 100 Thieves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,964
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,964 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b8f…1b4fbacked 100 Thieves1c11,761$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.51100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked K2741c5,716$2,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,345.575,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed K2731c5,495$1,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,765.4429858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed 100 Thieves58c5,465$3,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,169.5672453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed 100 Thieves51c4,113$2,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,084.1236742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 100 Thieves38c4,080$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.733,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed 100 Thieves56c3,874$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.6531345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 100 Thieves7c3,679$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.63,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked 100 Thieves46c2,292$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.5563038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked 100 Thieves59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18084454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed 100 Thieves16c1,999$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9248437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb6…ba42backed K2734c1,822$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.181770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed K2720c1,619$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.171,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked K2748c1,619$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed 100 Thieves10c1,500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9942142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed 100 Thieves55c1,180$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.626246.8%29 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed 100 Thieves39c1,173$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.3760853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f45…d3b8backed K2742c1,149$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.454261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked K2769c939.81$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.783,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed K2755c939.19$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.324,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed 100 Thieves63c913.99$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.2415954.7%87 W · 72 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked K2741c904.7$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.6620238.6%78 W · 124 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked K2725c824.09$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.0529235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa5…e615backed 100 Thieves68c801.96$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.473568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked K2746c735.54$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.237,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves13c652.11$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.245,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed K2770c630.54$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.324,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked K2746c611.85$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.7829839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab3…6adfbacked 100 Thieves58c587.26$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.524151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked 100 Thieves60c583.81$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.4160953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab6a…3319backed K2742c574.52$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.225858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed 100 Thieves19c569.21$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.262,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed K2738c552.93$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.812038.3%46 W · 74 L-12.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves40c540.91$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.585,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc516…4298backed 100 Thieves65c540.38$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed K2751c516.43$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.746,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed 100 Thieves7c500$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed 100 Thieves54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27076546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed K2741c499.95$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.9724429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed K2779c498.86$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.551471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3839…18b6backed K2731c497.61$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.542433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9c…3624backed 100 Thieves61c480.3$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed 100 Thieves52c477.16$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.8678043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked 100 Thieves58c467.97$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.535449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed 100 Thieves11c420.87$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8430527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed 100 Thieves23c407.95$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.44944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed K2750c399.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.3155236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed K2739c391.62$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.8910549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed 100 Thieves16c384.75$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed 100 Thieves10c378.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8424350.6%123 W · 120 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked K2752c372.36$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.123249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked 100 Thieves20c363.27$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3248948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed K2721c339.33$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.6822734.4%78 W · 149 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37de…facdbacked K2741c334.08$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed 100 Thieves21c326.62$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4891743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 100 Thieves60c317.3$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.845,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed K2746c317$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.0869635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed K2741c316.13$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.8425147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52aa…505ebacked 100 Thieves11c300.39$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.842227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked 100 Thieves10c299.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.981,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed K2740c298.91$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3424649.6%122 W · 124 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed K277c279.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.3538131%118 W · 263 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed 100 Thieves75c261.28$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.069862.2%61 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e083backed K2739c260$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.67828.2%22 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked 100 Thieves55c255.82$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.718549.2%91 W · 94 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed K2742c241.3$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.951,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed K2741c241.15$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2867651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6266…bd34backed K2732c234.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.39333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked 100 Thieves28c205.03$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4117930.2%54 W · 125 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked 100 Thieves61c203.55$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.171,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb020…d974backed K2728c201.35$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8914237.3%53 W · 89 L-18.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x54b4…748abacked K2727c195.26$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.044231%13 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed 100 Thieves43c195.18$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.563541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16fd…b4d3backed 100 Thieves30c191.09$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2429840.3%120 W · 178 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb94f…07a6backed 100 Thieves15c189.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.475764.9%37 W · 20 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked 100 Thieves52c185.66$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1412746.5%59 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked 100 Thieves60c170$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10233459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51fc…6946backed 100 Thieves8c165.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.231020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-57.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed 100 Thieves57c165.19$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1635344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed K2742c163.12$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6128046.8%131 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf573…cef6backed K2775c159.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed 100 Thieves47c156.18$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9733153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x675f…aa0bbacked 100 Thieves52c153.6$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.875747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed 100 Thieves60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9054032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed 100 Thieves49c143.56$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.922,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed K2741c142.76$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2328852.1%150 W · 138 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x205d…f12cbacked 100 Thieves10c140.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed 100 Thieves20c132.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3121723%50 W · 167 L-35.4wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-61.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed 100 Thieves76c130.1$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.884555.6%25 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed 100 Thieves78c126.75$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6714151.8%73 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc011…bf70backed 100 Thieves15c126.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.986338.1%24 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe713…c9a0backed K2744c116.82$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.511050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed 100 Thieves54c116.69$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.012,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x911f…5ed0backed K2735c112.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5919939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcb3e…9120backed K2741c112.1$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7914641.1%60 W · 86 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6826…d188backed 100 Thieves13c109.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6780%0 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked K2742c106.17$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.581,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed K2715c105.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2451755.9%289 W · 228 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed 100 Thieves48c103.54$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.481,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed K2753c100.85$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.437448.4%181 W · 193 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.