TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6826…d188

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Middle East, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 60 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT3517.1%6 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Panna Udvardybacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Tamara Korpatsch vs Jule Niemeierbacked Jule Niemeier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
San Luis Potosi: James Duckworth vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.22
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Emilio Nava vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Miyazaki: Liam Broady vs Blake Ellisbacked Blake Ellis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Menorca: Jonas Forejtek vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Menorca: Valentin Royer vs Alex Martinezbacked Alex Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$69.59
Bucharest Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Miyazaki: Harry Wendelken vs Yu-Hsiou Hsubacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Copa Colsanitas: Camila Osorio vs Jazmin Ortenzibacked Jazmin Ortenzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$80.67
Sao Leopoldo: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Miyazaki: Blake Ellis vs Maximus Jonesbacked Maximus Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Miyazaki: Harry Wendelken vs Braden Shickbacked Braden Shick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
San Luis Potosi: James Duckworth vs Miguel Tobonbacked Miguel Tobon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Grand Prix Hassan II: Timofey Skatov vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.69
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.33
Credit One Charleston Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Dalma Galfibacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Bucharest Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Filip Jianubacked Filip Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Alicante: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Naples: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.22
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Miami Open: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.72
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+277.4%+$27.74
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.96
Will White House post 200+ posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+344%+$80.09
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.3
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$13.2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.74
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.89
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.04
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.58
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.36per pick20cpaid+210.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.98
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$94.05
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$172.5
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO5) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Playoffsbacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.13
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs BESTIA (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #4 Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Ursa - Map 1 Winnerbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffsbacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffsbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-77.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.3
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$27.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$58.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$11.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.