Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4a3de1964b1f3fa1edeca40dbc3ef6663a56fda84e804066c23096b615904f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,495,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,712,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,495,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6433…b427backed No | 2c | 187,405$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 1c | 139,999$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.52 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 1c | 130,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 2c | 102,320$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.66 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 1c | 95,839$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.86 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 1c | 36,841$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.37 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 2c | 36,010$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.97 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfe…0a5ebacked No | 3c | 28,770$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 28,600$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 3c | 24,367$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.09 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked No | 2c | 22,300$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.37 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…4128backed No | 1c | 16,111$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed No | 1c | 12,415$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed No | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 3c | 9,901$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.94 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 2c | 8,207$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.1 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…f250backed No | 2c | 8,024$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 1c | 6,201$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…490dbacked No | 1c | 5,875$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…6ca1backed Yes | 80c | 5,675$4,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ad…90f6backed No | 3c | 5,612$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.35 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed No | 1c | 5,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed No | 1c | 5,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed No | 2c | 5,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1a…346bbacked No | 2c | 4,943$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfd…95c4backed No | 1c | 4,545$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 1c | 4,156$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 3c | 4,144$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.69 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3950…e272backed No | 1c | 4,101$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed No | 3c | 4,000$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 2c | 3,953$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 20c | 3,809$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.81 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked No | 1c | 3,735$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…1241backed No | 1c | 3,333$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…0789backed No | 2c | 3,327$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked Yes | 70c | 3,028$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.05 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3928…fc16backed No | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…ef3fbacked No | 3c | 2,820$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 79c | 2,812$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.49 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 11c | 2,700$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 1c | 2,639$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…28ddbacked No | 2c | 2,527$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 2c | 2,408$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4e…1370backed Yes | 80c | 2,386$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…fc39backed No | 17c | 2,250$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…3bb8backed No | 1c | 2,054$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed No | 1c | 2,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 14cpaid | +183.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed No | 7c | 1,971$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 3c | 1,943$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2d…bd89backed No | 2c | 1,898$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 2c | 1,777$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9057backed No | 1c | 1,774$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 3c | 1,562$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…8738backed No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 13c | 1,494$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.45 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 7c | 1,378$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2932…3ae8backed No | 2c | 1,292$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…e50fbacked No | 21c | 1,275$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…1710backed No | 1c | 1,259$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 2c | 1,243$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de5…d01cbacked Yes | 79c | 1,212$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 13c | 1,120$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.53 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 2c | 1,112$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b4…d794backed No | 2c | 1,069$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 80c | 1,046$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.35 | 228 | 48.7%111 W · 117 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…a8c5backed No | 21c | 1,037$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 3c | 1,034$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…560ebacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…6c4fbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 2c | 961.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 2c | 917.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c01…797dbacked No | 10c | 908.88$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 80c | 899$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…78c2backed No | 15c | 860$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…7f61backed No | 20c | 839$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26d…d349backed No | 4c | 802.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed No | 2c | 800.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6d3cbacked No | 20c | 799$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…f8c9backed No | 2c | 792.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 18c | 785.31$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.75 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 4c | 776.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…ebedbacked No | 20c | 754$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 3c | 731.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked No | 10c | 709.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…358fbacked Yes | 79c | 695$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 8c | 692.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 81 | 6.2%5 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 13c | 677.74$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 4c | 666.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 2c | 660.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 2c | 650.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 11c | 634.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…95e1backed Yes | 80c | 634$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…230bbacked No | 20c | 607$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 78c | 603.97$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769d…05bfbacked No | 21c | 597.26$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 581.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 104 | 2.9%3 W · 101 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…63bcbacked No | 14c | 559.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…cfc1backed No | 21c | 555$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed No | 20c | 555$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?this page
- Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No won
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No won
- Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No won
- Will Jimmy Patronis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No won
- Will Matt Gaetz be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No won
- Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.