TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60dc…9057

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst College Football at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3461.8%21 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$19.8
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,326Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$2,879.68
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$61.6
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$108.09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+336.6%+$841.57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+366.5%+$1,282.38
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$203
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$129
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$165
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,170.89
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$408
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+36.1%+$265
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$125
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$328.99
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$835Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$834.97
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$2,028.82
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,610.19
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,541Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+62.2%+$958.86
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,752Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+39.9%+$698.25
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,913Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+37.3%+$1,087.53
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$230.94
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.3%+$125
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,629Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.4%+$771.76
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+117.8%+$178.5
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.31
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.5
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$59.29
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$101.48
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+137.1%+$379.74
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.27
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,076Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$336.76
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$7,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$3,710.46
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$560
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,088Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,087.99
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$195
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,269.25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$200
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$675
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,403.12
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$30.22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$68
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$130
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$131
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$774.99
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$104.54
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.3
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.6
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.5
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+27.3%+$85.45
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$31.7
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+109.9%+$204.2
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+69.5%+$32.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,426Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,426.46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,449Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$651
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,187.27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$243
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$719.98
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$544.38
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+46.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+55.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+41.8%+$35.4
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+36%+$19.85
Dolphins vs. Panthersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$365
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,132Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+25.6%+$1,311.71
Trump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$46.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,586Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.4%+$916.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,784Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,784.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.