Commodities · resolved market
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed25d03a2589af03a7a603e7c07c36d53baf38c148e50cc1f5a6a6f285d68862
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,207,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,252,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,207,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,614 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked Yes | 40c | 54,854$21,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,949.24 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 35c | 54,823$19,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,524.9 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 52c | 53,690$28,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,132.08 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 64c | 40,348$25,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,976.64 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 76c | 37,662$28,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,168.17 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 41c | 27,803$11,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,288.93 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 45c | 25,734$11,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,136.87 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed No | 66c | 23,456$15,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,490.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 37c | 22,389$8,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,135.93 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…2a6ebacked Yes | 51c | 20,970$10,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,340.73 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 43c | 20,590$8,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,874.34 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 42c | 16,186$6,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,776.46 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4e…2e3ebacked No | 2c | 15,000$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 30c | 12,345$3,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,693.94 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 65c | 12,335$8,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,314.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 74c | 12,066$8,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf491…ee5ebacked No | 57c | 10,146$5,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,759.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 13c | 10,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed Yes | 76c | 9,933$7,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.38 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 26c | 9,723$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.2 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…0540backed Yes | 46c | 9,497$4,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,121.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…dea6backed Yes | 67c | 9,290$6,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 39c | 8,622$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…17bbbacked No | 75c | 7,638$5,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,711.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…b814backed Yes | 78c | 7,619$5,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.66 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…c434backed No | 8c | 7,520$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…5203backed Yes | 61c | 6,890$4,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.49 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 27c | 6,792$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.52 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43d…8a2abacked No | 3c | 6,036$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.59 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed No | 44c | 5,737$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x388f…f828backed No | 63c | 5,711$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,609.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 50c | 5,576$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.02 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2c…5f75backed No | 17c | 5,568$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9e…ae15backed No | 13c | 5,396$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…8f75backed No | 57c | 5,387$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a29…5f03backed Yes | 58c | 5,296$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 24c | 5,086$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,852.6 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 60c | 5,022$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.81 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a8…bb66backed No | 30c | 5,000$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.71 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 32c | 4,803$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.51 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked Yes | 36c | 4,709$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 30c | 4,500$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +159.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed Yes | 72c | 4,340$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.78 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…701fbacked Yes | 80c | 4,300$3,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 62c | 4,145$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.78 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked No | 68c | 4,107$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.02 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 79c | 4,000$3,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.56 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x405d…025ebacked Yes | 47c | 4,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…0b32backed No | 56c | 4,000$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…b4cbbacked No | 71c | 3,996$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.03 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 56c | 3,940$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.09 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…6fa0backed No | 36c | 3,887$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 45c | 3,751$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.94 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 25c | 3,734$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.84 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.25per pick | 34cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 46c | 3,628$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.65 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 3,523$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.63 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 36c | 3,500$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…65c0backed No | 71c | 3,500$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0099…386ebacked No | 35c | 3,500$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 3,490$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 71c | 3,489$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 25c | 3,333$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.73 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 39cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…ee01backed Yes | 72c | 3,263$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.38 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…869ebacked Yes | 70c | 3,202$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked Yes | 75c | 3,163$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.73 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed No | 53c | 3,155$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 48c | 2,962$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.09 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 45c | 2,850$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.38 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…0e97backed Yes | 47c | 2,823$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 76c | 2,758$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.15 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…891bbacked No | 52c | 2,475$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 42c | 2,455$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.33 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 36c | 2,296$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.42 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 73c | 2,208$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked Yes | 27c | 2,200$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 59c | 2,139$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…26e1backed Yes | 46c | 2,068$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed No | 35c | 1,984$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…c82abacked Yes | 62c | 1,964$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…30b9backed No | 47c | 1,920$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 51c | 1,872$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.2 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 72c | 1,807$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…7f5dbacked No | 57c | 1,805$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes | 66c | 1,800$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked No | 5c | 1,800$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 33c | 1,786$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.99 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 39c | 1,737$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.79 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 59c | 1,684$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.76 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 50c | 1,677$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0136…94cdbacked No | 72c | 1,669$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed No | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,625$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.03 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 66c | 1,620$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.1 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 54c | 1,597$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.84 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked Yes | 79c | 1,590$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.04 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 63c | 1,569$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.67 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb712…7069backed No | 68c | 1,554$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 39c | 1,526$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.22 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…74ecbacked Yes | 46c | 1,520$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?this page
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No won
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes won
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No won
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.