Commodities · resolved market
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x639d8b6161b0f21aa3bbefc68223b09572d14228e903809b706c84443e8067ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $723,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $736,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $723,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 463 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c66…44f3backed No | 8c | 113,857$9,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,096.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 76c | 72,537$55,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,496.82 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 47c | 29,940$14,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,103.21 | 942 | 40.2%379 W · 563 L | -69.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 33c | 25,814$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600.07 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked Yes | 63c | 19,475$12,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,288.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…8f75backed No | 59c | 18,067$10,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,731 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…2a6ebacked Yes | 60c | 15,955$9,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,419.97 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 14c | 15,183$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.15 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 34c | 13,978$4,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,266.87 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 23c | 13,351$3,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,104.29 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 0c | 12,225$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 91 | 1.1%1 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 15c | 12,000$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.16 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 15c | 10,660$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.58 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed No | 5c | 10,057$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…6426backed No | 53c | 9,261$4,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,868.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed No | 0c | 9,225$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 55c | 8,070$4,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,626.74 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 56c | 6,832$3,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.2 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…65c0backed No | 71c | 6,675$4,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,720.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 69c | 6,357$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…6acfbacked Yes | 71c | 5,946$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed No | 1c | 5,555$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 33c | 5,500$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,664.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +159.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 48c | 5,446$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.86 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 43c | 5,378$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 39c | 5,047$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.46 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…ac0bbacked No | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 4,099$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 29c | 4,094$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.98 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x579e…fef5backed No | 6c | 4,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 6c | 3,666$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.05 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf491…ee5ebacked No | 63c | 3,403$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 52c | 2,872$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.43 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 2,848$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…f5aabacked No | 53c | 2,762$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed No | 5c | 2,703$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.58 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 11c | 2,664$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.39 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…26a2backed No | 57c | 2,411$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 10c | 2,380$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.97 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked No | 11c | 2,286$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.6 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 36c | 2,265$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.49 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…869ebacked Yes | 80c | 2,250$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 45c | 2,231$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…7b4dbacked No | 76c | 2,200$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 7c | 2,174$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.36 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 65c | 2,159$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed No | 2c | 2,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked No | 7c | 2,000$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5882…55a2backed No | 65c | 1,995$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked No | 29c | 1,977$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.36 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,969$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 37c | 1,875$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.98 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed Yes | 59c | 1,800$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 23c | 1,721$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.12 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed No | 67c | 1,644$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d16…7228backed Yes | 73c | 1,625$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.33 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…e897backed Yes | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +174.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…7a45backed No | 36c | 1,500$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…2f54backed No | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…bd03backed No | 64c | 1,482$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 40c | 1,424$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…f103backed Yes | 31c | 1,420$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…917cbacked No | 7c | 1,389$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 18c | 1,386$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.64 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 61c | 1,382$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ec…5f73backed No | 10c | 1,339$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.46 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…9402backed Yes | 42c | 1,275$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…6fa0backed Yes | 40c | 1,210$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…72a5backed No | 7c | 1,200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 6c | 1,199$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79a8…bb66backed No | 38c | 1,184$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.49 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 47c | 1,170$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.88 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a9…789abacked No | 9c | 1,146$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…aa36backed No | 12c | 1,102$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +199.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 6c | 1,100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 76 | 5.3%4 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed No | 11c | 1,083$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.22 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 63c | 1,065$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.12 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 43c | 1,061$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.45 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 55c | 1,010$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.47 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed No | 29c | 1,010$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.9 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…0540backed Yes | 60c | 1,007$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 55c | 1,001$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.89 | 210 | 15.7%33 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…b814backed Yes | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.01 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…26e1backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9e…5421backed No | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 38c | 999.98$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.99 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed Yes | 34c | 999.96$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 51c | 998.02$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.03 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd5…f2cfbacked No | 51c | 986$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 53c | 977.03$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Yes | 29c | 968.01$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.57 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +268.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 958.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 81 | 2.5%2 W · 79 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…0e97backed Yes | 56c | 925.21$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c1…a397backed Yes | 37c | 917.87$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.87 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed Yes | 58c | 904.88$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 34c | 892.04$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.21 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…2190backed No | 34c | 865.15$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed No | 10c | 859$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 70c | 850.58$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?this page
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No won
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No won
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes won
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.