TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x56ec…5f73

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+114%+$85.03
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.92
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+357.9%+$76.44
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$16.99
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.45
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.92
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.54
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.74
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.64
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+182.1%+$253.33
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+755.9%+$789.51
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+338%+$124.9
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.5
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.38
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+123.6%+$181.51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+525%+$258.74
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.81
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.65
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$8.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$46.92
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$37.11
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$13.6
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.51
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+434.8%+$2,091.53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$44.5
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.64
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.46
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+365.8%+$95.15
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.36
Will Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Will Falcons Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.93
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.1
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.6
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$215.8
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.34
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+126.2%+$135.91
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.27
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.33
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-47.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.74
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.12
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+264%+$54.55
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$208.07
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.68
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.85
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.2
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.55
All 10 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-56.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.19
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.96
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.72
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.9
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+131.6%+$481.73
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.61
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+125.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+154%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$3.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.