AI · resolved market
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x271660fedc0b7e2fb1d7f007b704e67102cb29d3def2ebaa66018041430d1fe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $505,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $497,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $505,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0681…f713backed Yes | 52c | 23,400$12,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,201.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed No | 51c | 11,965$6,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,868.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41b…36bebacked Yes | 32c | 10,740$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,474.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed No | 52c | 10,459$5,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,012.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0143…239abacked Yes | 17c | 8,884$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fc…b16bbacked Yes | 1c | 8,452$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…9d46backed No | 62c | 8,132$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 7,252$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes | 7c | 6,102$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…b7fabacked Yes | 19c | 5,864$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Yes | 33c | 5,409$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.14 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Yes | 10c | 5,032$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed Yes | 6c | 4,959$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Yes | 11c | 4,803$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 4,793$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.34 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 55c | 4,570$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.42 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 6c | 4,445$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.19 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…03ccbacked Yes | 35c | 4,053$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 17c | 3,961$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.05 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 78c | 3,862$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.47 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7c…eca0backed Yes | 29c | 3,750$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…9c4ebacked Yes | 23c | 3,603$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…ffa3backed Yes | 46c | 3,541$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.36 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…fcf7backed No | 59c | 3,422$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…9168backed Yes | 3c | 3,280$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…e923backed Yes | 61c | 3,238$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…57ecbacked No | 66c | 3,023$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf28…7f92backed Yes | 8c | 2,900$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5e…a877backed Yes | 6c | 2,803$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.28 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…9064backed Yes | 27c | 2,684$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…b3a8backed Yes | 13c | 2,681$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.48 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…3b04backed Yes | 8c | 2,634$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2995…8410backed Yes | 1c | 2,610$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 52c | 2,603$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.67 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 48c | 2,450$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.61 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 45c | 2,298$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb72…aa19backed Yes | 15c | 2,263$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c3…cf5cbacked Yes | 44c | 2,225$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.81 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked No | 41c | 2,208$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 6c | 2,201$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.61 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e89…9a0bbacked No | 59c | 2,177$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed Yes | 5c | 2,162$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.61 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 49c | 2,143$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.27 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 74c | 2,099$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.37 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…5fbdbacked Yes | 20c | 2,030$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1817…9eb2backed No | 59c | 1,935$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8528…d446backed No | 54c | 1,850$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.62 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…652bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,807$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 50c | 1,786$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.38 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6547…82b3backed Yes | 48c | 1,772$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…fd91backed Yes | 19c | 1,767$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 1,761$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,707$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.02 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 1,680$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…c707backed Yes | 18c | 1,633$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,632$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…20fbbacked No | 66c | 1,524$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa069…1e59backed Yes | 7c | 1,505$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…f7d6backed Yes | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…c51fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,486$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e16…5026backed No | 46c | 1,424$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b965backed Yes | 15c | 1,420$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.26 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…dc73backed Yes | 19c | 1,400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453b…1575backed No | 43c | 1,377$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 47c | 1,297$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.84 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 69c | 1,286$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.07 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83f1…1936backed No | 69c | 1,286$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…8527backed Yes | 77c | 1,281$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50d…483dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,255$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 80c | 1,217$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.43 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf501…fa89backed Yes | 9c | 1,200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 65c | 1,148$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.86 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 11c | 1,125$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…e108backed Yes | 6c | 1,100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…86efbacked No | 56c | 1,084$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +60%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…6564backed Yes | 18c | 1,082$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…fa0ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,041$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…ffc0backed Yes | 26c | 1,020$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…4b43backed No | 53c | 1,011$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.24 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8d…6724backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.7 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d93…c671backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…ff78backed Yes | 28c | 999.99$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf6…50e2backed Yes | 38c | 999.99$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6607…5bd9backed Yes | 22c | 999.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a71…78c9backed Yes | 37c | 999.98$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…64e7backed No | 50c | 993.82$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa684…240cbacked Yes | 7c | 970$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…9bfdbacked Yes | 11c | 938$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0589…b26bbacked Yes | 7c | 930$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 66c | 925$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.33 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 3c | 900$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9651backed No | 62c | 881.01$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e0…89e4backed No | 53c | 864.6$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 862.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc9…828abacked Yes | 64c | 861.45$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…ad03backed Yes | 67c | 848.23$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 74c | 811.44$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.44 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?this page
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.