AI · resolved market
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e4948862eb04660e72665de642796c9d1fe7b180f5b46aef3fafa846cd4613f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $410,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $433,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x28e6…3a7ebacked No | 0c | 50,018$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fb…fd30backed No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes | 36c | 38,964$14,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,749.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551f…6c2bbacked No | 0c | 34,497$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…3773backed No | 65c | 15,523$10,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,089.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…03ccbacked Yes | 39c | 14,771$5,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,960.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…4b43backed No | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7181backed Yes | 41c | 8,831$3,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,168.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…652bbacked Yes | 41c | 8,327$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,903.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 20c | 8,065$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 46c | 7,690$3,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,503.44 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked No | 63c | 7,228$4,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,571.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…bbdbbacked No | 64c | 6,971$4,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,475.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 58c | 5,000$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,883.08 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 42c | 4,110$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.62 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | +17.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked No | 64c | 3,752$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.4 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 38c | 3,373$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.69 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…29b4backed No | 1c | 3,348$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 70c | 3,331$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.81 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 66c | 3,223$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.52 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -7.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 63c | 2,783$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…86cfbacked No | 58c | 2,594$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Yes | 39c | 2,528$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.13 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…3b04backed Yes | 36c | 2,487$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b4…6709backed Yes | 39c | 2,428$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.3 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21b…31d1backed No | 59c | 2,252$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…fd91backed Yes | 40c | 2,002$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…e696backed No | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…ff78backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed No | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c3…cf5cbacked Yes | 54c | 1,966$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 61c | 1,958$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.85 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a71…78c9backed Yes | 54c | 1,716$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…840ebacked No | 60c | 1,691$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…81cebacked No | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed No | 79c | 1,582$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.93 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 63c | 1,575$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 67c | 1,565$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6607…5bd9backed Yes | 51c | 1,515$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a45…aa58backed No | 1c | 1,496$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…ffc0backed Yes | 52c | 1,495$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed No | 65c | 1,455$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.61 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad2…3a5dbacked No | 58c | 1,415$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 1,396$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.37 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf501…fa89backed Yes | 35c | 1,395$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb3…51c8backed Yes | 47c | 1,230$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.89 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked No | 3c | 1,203$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 40c | 1,179$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.36 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 68c | 1,138$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.55 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8d…6724backed Yes | 44c | 1,124$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.59 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b965backed Yes | 33c | 1,113$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.87 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb72…aa19backed Yes | 69c | 1,044$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.87 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0b…016abacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…b7fabacked Yes | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…552cbacked No | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf6…50e2backed Yes | 48c | 999.98$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 37c | 965.92$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 69c | 946.96$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd0…f278backed No | 48c | 938.53$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…86efbacked No | 63c | 936.27$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +60%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…12d6backed Yes | 56c | 925.13$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed No | 63c | 911$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.38 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 51c | 908.05$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.56 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…8527backed Yes | 67c | 899.95$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d93…c671backed Yes | 56c | 880$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…e339backed No | 1c | 867.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 56c | 866.97$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.35 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee9…a128backed No | 67c | 864.22$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9349…c62bbacked No | 1c | 836.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 41c | 802.83$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.5 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8253…e51bbacked No | 2c | 800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…30abbacked No | 47c | 789.76$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes | 43c | 779.71$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.48 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8473…70efbacked Yes | 41c | 735.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Yes | 38c | 692.61$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.72 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 36c | 686$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.32 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…5d41backed Yes | 18c | 672.19$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 32cpaid | +191.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…1db9backed Yes | 36c | 663.1$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.74 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 32c | 644.55$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.29 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Yes | 54c | 640$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…f344backed No | 70c | 615.82$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 49c | 614.79$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.74 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 37c | 588.28$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.93 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…ad03backed Yes | 31c | 575.55$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 42c | 567$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.86 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 45c | 560$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.2 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked No | 46c | 542.12$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5888…940ebacked Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…5fbdbacked Yes | 36c | 523.12$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f08…73a8backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…7239backed No | 52c | 499.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c51…3f38backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 58c | 454.84$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.81 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 69c | 443.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.35 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4a…6cb1backed Yes | 40c | 441.81$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.69 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba04…b544backed No | 54c | 439.2$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbae…0f67backed No | 63c | 428.91$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed No | 35c | 406.24$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?this page
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.