AI · resolved market
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe542284d140ac1fbd9e42afeeca21c04647715620cf84c6867066b801716e6f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $318,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $331,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0681…f713backed Yes | 8c | 82,454$6,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,885.56 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…b7c0backed Yes | 5c | 5,946$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…9074backed Yes | 7c | 4,438$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 3,892$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.76 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…b3a8backed Yes | 8c | 3,464$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…03ccbacked Yes | 14c | 3,375$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,886$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574f…b919backed Yes | 17c | 2,829$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 10c | 2,361$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.16 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 18c | 2,347$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b4…6709backed Yes | 10c | 2,328$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 9c | 2,250$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 7c | 2,051$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f1…1936backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5efe…5f55backed Yes | 6c | 1,950$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…fdf7backed Yes | 4c | 1,905$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…13ecbacked Yes | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,600$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 416 | 7.5%31 W · 385 L | -25.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 13c | 1,574$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…9b56backed Yes | 7c | 1,524$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 23cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…c8ebbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,352$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,347$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d5…3378backed Yes | 7c | 1,265$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 1,224$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 4c | 1,216$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Yes | 18c | 1,100$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…0bffbacked Yes | 11c | 1,100$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…927fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…6d78backed Yes | 8c | 999.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 5c | 942.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 10c | 929.59$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 859.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…d361backed Yes | 7c | 854.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Yes | 11c | 819.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…de5fbacked Yes | 6c | 802$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 5c | 795.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 4c | 771$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -13.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 6c | 756.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Yes | 6c | 741.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 14c | 736.77$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…a390backed Yes | 12c | 714.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741d…92a9backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…4c07backed Yes | 14c | 705.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa202…9b12backed Yes | 11c | 668.35$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 4c | 664$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32ab…fe70backed Yes | 6c | 656.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21d…54e9backed Yes | 15c | 612.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…3090backed Yes | 8c | 607.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x937e…8022backed Yes | 6c | 599.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e0…89e4backed Yes | 10c | 570$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 16c | 522.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 5c | 510$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf367…f959backed Yes | 19c | 508$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…3279backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…fcf7backed Yes | 7c | 500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…68ddbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768c…ebf8backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 6c | 445.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…96d0backed Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 6c | 414.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…63aebacked Yes | 6c | 383.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f59…0be6backed Yes | 21c | 378.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 10c | 365$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 10c | 361.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 6c | 339.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…cd84backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…2b86backed Yes | 8c | 319.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 23c | 318$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…3599backed Yes | 6c | 311.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…09f1backed No | 80c | 310.26$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd173…1b86backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…2624backed Yes | 13c | 297.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked No | 74c | 292.69$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…7676backed No | 45c | 289.47$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.47 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 7c | 289$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 10c | 280$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe518…f0fcbacked Yes | 13c | 267.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13b3…7801backed Yes | 7c | 257.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…86bcbacked Yes | 7c | 241.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a22…2851backed Yes | 6c | 239.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f5…d417backed Yes | 9c | 227.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 8c | 220$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…5049backed Yes | 5c | 217.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bf…d588backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…2fffbacked Yes | 11c | 210$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…025abacked Yes | 11c | 210$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…7239backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x152e…9963backed Yes | 9c | 195.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb618…4149backed Yes | 15c | 186.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 7c | 173.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?this page
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.