AI · resolved market
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57930dc3e9ed94d824a74cf44487ef2d4fc722854f957ec2ae02e316b5574f3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $381,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $374,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46e7…3773backed Yes | 4c | 20,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0681…f713backed Yes | 15c | 19,947$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,971.06 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Yes | 8c | 19,287$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Yes | 4c | 18,496$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 15,872$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 0c | 11,456$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…c0a3backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…652bbacked Yes | 3c | 8,570$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…b7fabacked Yes | 7c | 8,330$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 6,194$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.61 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,571$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.93 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41b…36bebacked Yes | 11c | 4,700$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…ffa3backed Yes | 13c | 4,163$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.55 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 16c | 3,273$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes | 19c | 3,072$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 4c | 2,536$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…f7d6backed Yes | 16c | 2,281$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ae…2c6bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…230abacked Yes | 2c | 2,240$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…6564backed Yes | 5c | 2,116$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 14c | 2,080$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b9…d898backed Yes | 7c | 2,020$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 4c | 1,996$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…6e45backed Yes | 3c | 1,896$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…9168backed Yes | 4c | 1,707$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 4c | 1,566$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ec…5f73backed Yes | 14c | 1,395$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.85 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 1,349$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,346$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 8c | 1,269$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.44 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 1,137$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 9c | 1,080$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb72…aa19backed Yes | 9c | 1,061$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,060$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…fa0ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 4c | 951.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 2c | 950.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9f…1851backed Yes | 4c | 842.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5e…a877backed Yes | 7c | 800$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…5fbdbacked Yes | 18c | 799.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 3c | 700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 17c | 667.23$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…19efbacked Yes | 4c | 653.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019b…fddbbacked Yes | 5c | 602.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…2440backed Yes | 11c | 600$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9926…5d2cbacked Yes | 17c | 580.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 17c | 540.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes | 4c | 500.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4c…a5f0backed Yes | 17c | 500$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e71…c117backed Yes | 10c | 484.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f88…cdcbbacked Yes | 18c | 467.56$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d90…c448backed Yes | 24c | 421.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b965backed Yes | 4c | 420.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb513…b9a6backed Yes | 20c | 416.1$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 5c | 412.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…1db9backed Yes | 17c | 406.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…2edabacked Yes | 3c | 380.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e16…5026backed No | 74c | 373.34$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 12c | 308.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a24…22d0backed Yes | 17c | 287.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…42d7backed Yes | 20c | 276.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…fec3backed Yes | 7c | 250$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +133.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 5c | 233.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Yes | 5c | 230$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 12c | 210$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Yes | 6c | 203.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa21…f3f4backed Yes | 10c | 202.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ab…9c0ebacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b67…584fbacked Yes | 17c | 198.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c3…cf5cbacked Yes | 11c | 191.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4d…e59bbacked Yes | 8c | 187.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 13c | 175$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 11c | 164$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…d26abacked Yes | 7c | 161.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6547…82b3backed Yes | 16c | 154.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 7c | 150.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…d24ebacked Yes | 8c | 140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c48…5456backed Yes | 18c | 139.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38cb…764abacked Yes | 17c | 130.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a7…3145backed Yes | 16c | 127.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…a9fdbacked Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67e…6b44backed Yes | 16c | 107.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…0c76backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…1936backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b8…a85dbacked Yes | 16c | 87.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc053…8c11backed Yes | 24c | 83.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…d073backed Yes | 17c | 66.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…55e9backed Yes | 16c | 65.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e0…4ca5backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf358…d57dbacked No | 76c | 25.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 76c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?this page
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?No won
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.