TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd61a…c7f1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT200%0 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.81
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.69
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.32
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.98
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.15
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.17
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.79
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.41
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.06
Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.62
Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.24
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.9
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick4cpaid+78.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,649.4%+$721.48
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.05
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.78
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.28
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.58
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+1,007.1%+$360.48
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.76
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.38
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.43
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.06
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick5cpaid+99.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+1,191.9%+$171.16
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.81
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.44
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.96
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.13
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.52
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.26
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.26
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.79
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.63
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.39
Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.88
Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+1,401.9%+$242.56
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT130%0 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.27
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.24
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.97
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.48
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.58
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.45
Will Solana dip to $50 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.87
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.27
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.65
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+67.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.22
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.18
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.94
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.69
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+1,240%+$148.06
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.