Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2e3642ce945d07d7acc58b7ed0680cdadd1fbbb6b0c628f2906dab2ada0d9ab

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $169,063
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $72,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,063 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yes	0c	10,775$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	20cpaid	-89.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	9,092$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.74	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	7,551$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.89	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	6,992$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.93	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	0c	6,470$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.21	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	5,252$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.39	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	6c	4,485$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.87	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	1c	3,891$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.74	152	21.1%32 W · 120 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe31…b42dbacked Yes	2c	2,866$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.38	85	30.6%26 W · 59 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb98d…5a68backed Yes	1c	2,675$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	2c	2,568$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.61	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	7c	2,100$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.5	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	1,718$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.81	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48c5…2cb2backed Yes	1c	1,637$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	9c	1,596$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.97	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	6c	1,361$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.68	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	5c	1,308$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.92	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	3c	1,283$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.51	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	1c	1,250$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.1	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	5c	1,111$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	7c	1,079$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.48	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	3c	1,067$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.59	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	1,015$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.33	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	3c	1,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	2c	874.19$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed Yes	6c	823.22$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	3c	798.78$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.51	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	6c	727.03$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.16	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x482f…53f7backed Yes	3c	708.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	81	2.5%2 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	2c	704.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	6c	650$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.75	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	642.89$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.33	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	628.57$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.97	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	5c	600$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68ec…7c22backed Yes	4c	559.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.69	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e78…c340backed Yes	7c	443.38$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.92	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed Yes	4c	385.07$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.66	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	10c	330$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.53	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ea…02edbacked Yes	5c	283.74$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.41	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	280.46$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.42	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes	6c	271.62$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.18	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e07…0bf2backed Yes	7c	268.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-61.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x633f…0e01backed Yes	8c	246.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	9c	217.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.53	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49a5…a67cbacked Yes	7c	200$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	76	10.5%8 W · 68 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	8c	173.74$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.25	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d50…c26bbacked Yes	7c	164.74$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	114	16.7%19 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event