Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x544f88f8bf8e026e687fbcde5f21d1f449ee98cef94ceed9abe407c5501cf8b2

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $348,323
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $227,135

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,323 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	11c	19,000$2,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,110	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	14,185$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.84	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	6c	9,000$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.79	197	31%61 W · 136 L	+13.8wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	13c	8,327$1,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,095.82	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	6c	6,826$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.45	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	5c	5,500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	9c	5,473$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.23	149	12.8%19 W · 130 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	4c	4,016$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.01	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	6c	3,991$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.64	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	6c	3,869$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.22	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	10c	3,702$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.93	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	20c	3,323$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648.14	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes	3c	3,318$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.77	202	22.8%46 W · 156 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes	24c	3,033$742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$742.11	64	21.9%14 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	6c	3,000$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.95	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	9c	3,000$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	9c	2,843$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.38	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fec…8136backed Yes	18c	2,795$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	21c	2,760$572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.34	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	2,703$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.06	558	8.2%46 W · 512 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	15c	2,653$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.85	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	3c	2,600$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.8	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	7c	2,456$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.33	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes	8c	2,316$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.66	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	8c	2,102$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.81	351	12.8%45 W · 306 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299b…8994backed Yes	22c	2,077$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.58	66	28.8%19 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	6c	2,028$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.58	216	6%13 W · 203 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed No	71c	2,000$1,428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.99	108	66.7%72 W · 36 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	8c	1,970$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.99	270	24.4%66 W · 204 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed Yes	2c	1,928$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.18	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	19c	1,918$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.17	312	24.7%77 W · 235 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	12c	1,752$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.22	405	19.8%80 W · 325 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	11c	1,747$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.12	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	3c	1,730$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.45	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04fa…1ff3backed Yes	28c	1,710$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.44	52	21.2%11 W · 41 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	14c	1,600$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.5	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	12c	1,495$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.97	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe68e…453dbacked Yes	31c	1,464$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	2c	1,440$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.26	578	11.4%66 W · 512 L	+19.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	22c	1,429$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.12	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Yes	3c	1,400$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	4c	1,330$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.55	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	8c	1,330$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.57	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x552c…be63backed Yes	9c	1,329$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.58	143	14%20 W · 123 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b2…b87dbacked Yes	8c	1,092$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.61	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c75…fd50backed Yes	6c	1,088$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	156	31.4%49 W · 107 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	28c	1,071$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.6	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	75c	1,054$793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.19	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	4c	1,022$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.2	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fb…dad8backed Yes	14c	1,000$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.66	123	32.5%40 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeded…4dcabacked Yes	10c	999.62$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.96	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28c0…b776backed Yes	27c	961.58$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	6c	945.59$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.28	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	4c	907.65$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.28	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4067…6ffabacked Yes	5c	870$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.46	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	9c	861$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.04	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	9c	842.18$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.74	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd160…5ffebacked Yes	2c	830.51$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	13c	828.88$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.08	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	17c	770.57$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.94	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	11c	721.84$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.99	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d73…75a0backed Yes	19c	715.01$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.34	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b5…e85ebacked Yes	25c	713.93$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9519…9c28backed Yes	29c	713.67$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.34	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	5c	711.93$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.68	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefc9…1f0abacked Yes	30c	700$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	24c	685.27$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.68	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	7c	678.13$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.32	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13e7…c338backed Yes	27c	673.12$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.95	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ec…e25abacked Yes	10c	671.15$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.2	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c9…1fdbbacked Yes	25c	652$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.08	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65fc…beacbacked Yes	18c	638.49$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.72	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb20d…d518backed No	79c	636$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.65	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-3.8wins	-0.15per pick	59cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	8c	630.56$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.1	109	11.9%13 W · 96 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed No	68c	616.61$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.98	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	21c	612.57$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.67	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	4c	612.44$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.86	154	7.8%12 W · 142 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9611…e89ebacked Yes	16c	607.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe31…b42dbacked Yes	6c	606.28$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.97	85	30.6%26 W · 59 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	6c	601.13$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf09b…0604backed Yes	3c	600$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed No	80c	594.32$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.55	63	81%51 W · 12 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	75cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	22c	589.05$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.3	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	10c	573.49$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.33	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	15c	572.88$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes	7c	561.53$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.51	117	4.3%5 W · 112 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a28…1df7backed Yes	15c	524$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	180	24.4%44 W · 136 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	7c	516.91$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.32	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0295…2ec6backed No	79c	515.64$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.64	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	76cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	5c	515$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.25	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	6c	504.2$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.25	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	19c	500.16$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.41	731	15.2%111 W · 620 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes	32c	500$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes	17c	500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	50	30%15 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yes	21c	500$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.75	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	20cpaid	-89.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa927…4847backed Yes	20c	499.2$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes	4c	483$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.01	332	31%103 W · 229 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299a…3576backed Yes	6c	481.37$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x697b…d152backed Yes	26c	469.85$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.14	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	31cpaid	+71.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82e0…7902backed Yes	4c	467.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	22cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event