Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12d0a116a05ae3c5464fc5c9e72ff7756a8dc7c70b07397728d3cda7970565cf

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $504,839
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $372,574

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $504,839 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 473 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	35c	14,401$4,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,979.85	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9514…9017backed Yes	1c	13,419$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.72	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	4c	7,268$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.15	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	6c	7,056$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.57	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	23c	6,835$1,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,570	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	19c	6,764$1,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,264.3	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	14c	6,543$914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$913.99	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	15c	6,457$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$978.73	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	9c	6,349$593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.02	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	22c	6,321$1,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,413.21	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	15c	5,901$882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.5	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	9c	5,306$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.18	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	78c	5,212$4,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,147.9	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	10c	4,934$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.28	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	13c	4,700$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613.31	199	30.7%61 W · 138 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	8c	4,559$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.1	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	14c	4,195$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.1	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	14c	3,770$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.8	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	32c	3,461$1,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,093.34	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	26c	3,308$857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$857.42	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	13c	3,071$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.45	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	72c	3,043$2,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$845.92	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed No	80c	2,902$2,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$585.5	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80b7…3d7ebacked Yes	8c	2,644$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.91	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	12c	2,527$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.73	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	9c	2,500$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.5	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes	21c	2,343$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	9c	2,228$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.49	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4523…9c64backed Yes	1c	2,157$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	20c	2,113$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.33	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	19c	2,095$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.76	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	30c	2,070$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.23	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	73c	2,054$1,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$555.33	90	57.8%52 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	9c	2,038$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.99	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	1c	2,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	10c	2,000$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	9c	1,985$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.49	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	19c	1,950$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.21	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc831…0111backed Yes	13c	1,916$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.65	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed No	79c	1,887$1,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.31	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	4c	1,717$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.56	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes	24c	1,716$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.51	64	21.9%14 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	71c	1,713$1,209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.42	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	14c	1,710$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.95	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	1,624$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.01	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	5c	1,596$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd5…d861backed Yes	17c	1,582$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.4	35	20%7 W · 28 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes	27c	1,557$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.39	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…77acbacked Yes	4c	1,540$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.98	159	25.2%40 W · 119 L	+8.6wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	16c	1,509$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.99	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	18c	1,500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	6c	1,500$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.5	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	77c	1,444$1,108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.46	340	39.7%135 W · 205 L	-12.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Yes	35c	1,404$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.3	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	14c	1,380$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.06	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04fa…1ff3backed Yes	24c	1,369$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.99	52	21.2%11 W · 41 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	8c	1,353$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.35	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes	7c	1,300$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.64	73	20.5%15 W · 58 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	68c	1,300$888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.8	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	12c	1,280$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.37	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	16c	1,278$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.72	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	8c	1,275$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.65	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70f9…7bb8backed Yes	2c	1,269$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Yes	2c	1,260$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1604…c826backed Yes	32c	1,233$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.85	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	31c	1,232$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.72	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	76c	1,220$923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.63	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x633f…0e01backed Yes	20c	1,213$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.78	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	11c	1,201$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.7	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30d7…59c1backed Yes	8c	1,153$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.74	89	22.5%20 W · 69 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9611…e89ebacked Yes	37c	1,124$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.03	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes	8c	1,083$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.29	119	4.2%5 W · 114 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	3c	1,080$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.51	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d73…75a0backed Yes	22c	1,075$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.23	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b8…4132backed Yes	20c	1,026$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.53	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes	33c	1,025$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.83	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	10c	1,016$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.01	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	7c	1,000$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fb…dad8backed Yes	30c	1,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	123	32.5%40 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	40c	997.52$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.51	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5177…2d20backed Yes	8c	996.3$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.29	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	23c	986.88$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.42	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	23c	974.55$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.54	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	21c	970.01$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.96	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a3a…22c7backed Yes	22c	967.31$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.96	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x380f…8229backed Yes	9c	956.17$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.95	177	22.6%40 W · 137 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	24c	956.04$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.75	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	26c	950.28$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.08	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	26c	927.36$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.1	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc331…1d71backed Yes	22c	920.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	25c	893.26$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes	2c	872.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.81	332	31%103 W · 229 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	16c	871.68$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.6	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd160…5ffebacked Yes	35c	857.72$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No	78c	851.69$667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.76	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed No	79c	828.48$654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.1	344	27%93 W · 251 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	25c	815.99$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.14	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	28c	800$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.6	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	18c	800$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.37	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9372…b267backed Yes	10c	800$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event