Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0db45be87d0607276b9131ebc26b63bbec99ef27636c90088df1d9a117e07852

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $479,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $486,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $479,933 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 772 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	40c	9,055$3,608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,447.7	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	39c	8,398$3,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,262.61	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5758…e2d8backed Yes	73c	5,235$3,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,434.7	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked No	14c	4,824$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693.22	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	16c	4,465$724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,741.72	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	50c	4,430$2,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,218.57	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x590e…e43dbacked No	39c	4,347$1,691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,691.33	192	15.6%30 W · 162 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x696e…1c38backed No	39c	4,113$1,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,583.91	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	50c	3,693$1,845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,847.77	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	17c	3,558$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.92	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf055…ccddbacked No	26c	3,320$856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$856.22	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	27c	3,194$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,344.13	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70ee…b403backed Yes	65c	3,013$1,955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,057.93	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf993…cd9dbacked Yes	66c	2,999$1,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,006.14	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	26c	2,991$789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,201.89	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed No	72c	2,958$2,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,139.72	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	70c	2,946$2,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,076	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	76c	2,900$2,215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$684.75	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked No	11c	2,886$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.6	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	40c	2,841$1,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,144.13	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	40c	2,801$1,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,681.99	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	14c	2,604$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,244.76	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	17c	2,504$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,086.17	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	47c	2,401$1,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,282.91	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No	8c	2,400$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.66	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	69c	2,400$1,648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$751.27	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked No	24c	2,360$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.25	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	18c	2,270$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,862.84	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9611…e89ebacked Yes	44c	2,221$988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,232.67	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	50c	2,221$1,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,115.38	148	64.9%96 W · 52 L	+9.6wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	28c	2,219$624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,595.74	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	38c	2,217$847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,370.72	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	34c	2,109$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.69	309	55%170 W · 139 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	72c	2,054$1,472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,472.08	90	57.8%52 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	73c	2,006$1,472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$534.21	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	49c	1,996$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.77	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	33c	1,893$628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,264.75	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	40c	1,878$745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,133.45	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80b7…3d7ebacked Yes	41c	1,876$766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,109.55	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f5…e714backed No	25c	1,796$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.78	83	24.1%20 W · 63 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x266e…17e5backed Yes	69c	1,704$1,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.08	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	15c	1,695$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,445.12	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	71c	1,588$1,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.45	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed No	14c	1,570$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.9	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes	31c	1,479$453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,025.43	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	73c	1,472$1,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.64	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Yes	33c	1,449$479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$969.45	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	67c	1,428$957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.33	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b4…2d43backed Yes	43c	1,410$611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$799.03	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	25c	1,384$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,036.9	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	71c	1,377$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.1	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x064b…eae5backed No	40c	1,343$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.49	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed No	19c	1,310$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.77	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	-16.1wins	-0.17per pick	41cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	49c	1,309$636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$673.19	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	16c	1,277$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,076.25	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	27c	1,271$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$922.76	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	25c	1,250$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$939.76	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	32c	1,239$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes	25c	1,238$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928.65	64	21.9%14 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	40c	1,237$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501	218	57.8%126 W · 92 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe2…d740backed Yes	16c	1,231$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,030.68	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	30cpaid	+77.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	49c	1,220$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.64	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes	52c	1,219$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$588.93	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x65ab…273dbacked Yes	77c	1,214$933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.14	204	32.4%66 W · 138 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	60c	1,210$725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.5	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa845…563ebacked Yes	49c	1,188$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$608.33	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked No	23c	1,182$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.32	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+12.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	33c	1,181$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.33	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	51c	1,161$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.06	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	27c	1,158$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.62	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	51c	1,100$557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.95	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	69c	1,100$761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760.99	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked No	46c	1,061$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.47	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1604…c826backed Yes	26c	1,060$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$781.05	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7b…a88dbacked Yes	63c	1,057$662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.38	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3335…fbd6backed No	30c	1,050$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	21c	1,032$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$813.53	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No	59c	1,031$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610.43	89	60.7%54 W · 35 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	45c	1,031$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570.57	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	10c	1,019$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$917.09	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5f…2fd1backed Yes	33c	1,016$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$680.29	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb5…899dbacked Yes	42c	1,011$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$588.71	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+3.6wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdf5…d359backed Yes	73c	1,000$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	22c	1,000$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$785	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3fb…dad8backed Yes	30c	1,000$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700	123	32.5%40 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed Yes	73c	978.16$718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.36	103	25.2%26 W · 77 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No	24c	968.25$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.33	125	48%60 W · 65 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	34c	950.97$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$629.37	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	67c	946.93$635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.63	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	21c	945.81$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750.83	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8eb1…743ebacked Yes	37c	924.78$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$586.64	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	36cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	65c	923.81$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.89	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	38c	899.99$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$555.67	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x280f…1963backed No	32c	879.99$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.66	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa714…ab88backed Yes	29c	855.44$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605.44	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes	42c	839.94$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.62	210	34.8%73 W · 137 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed8…2e77backed Yes	18c	826.23$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.7	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a9…924ebacked Yes	61c	818.46$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.46	20	60%12 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No	27c	816.35$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.36	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ecd…9b27backed Yes	73c	814.3$597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.76	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event