TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36e7…0b6b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
402
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: World Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT24873%181 W · 67 L+15.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 248 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$134.97
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$70.14
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$266.89
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$386
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$764.91
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$196
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.99
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$102
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$67
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$867Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$866.99
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$738.95
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$191.37
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,170.08
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$161.88
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$224.87
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$60.99
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+71%+$503.28
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$154
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$166.99
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,142.65
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$76.6
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$148.39
Showing 25 of 248 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7339.7%29 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$41.8
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$68.25
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+281%+$73.75
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$213.99
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$88
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.99
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.25
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST3528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-46.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$74
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+39.5%+$8.5
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+60%+$7.5
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+34.7%+$184.1
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.62
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$446.59
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.99
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.85
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$175.2
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+26.8%+$70.49
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$4.3
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.74
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$552.77
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$446.99
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.3
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO1)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$10.24
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Gen.G win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
League of Legends: AG.AL vs. Gen.Gbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$32.02
Will T1 win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$8.67
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. G2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.39
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+143.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,049.19
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.44
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,930Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,929.85
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$789Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+57.8%+$456.26
Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$302.97
Lee Sang-min in jail by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+245.7%+$1,098.73
Yoon arrested before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,476Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$827.27
Yoon in jail before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10,544Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,544.01
North Korea missile test by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
Will valid votes be between 32 million and 34 million in South Korean election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,238Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+419.6%+$9,390.25
Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$832Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+458.9%+$3,819.83
Will Lee Jun-seok win less than 2% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$834Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+330.3%+$2,756.34
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 5-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,513Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,513.03
Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 8-11%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+1,332.8%+$5,252.68
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+1,441.2%+$2,883.58
Will Lee Jae-myung win Daejeon (대전) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Kwon Yeong-guk win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$165.04
Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lee Jae-myung win Ulsan (울산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+303.9%+$303.87
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,402Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+700.9%+$9,824.48
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+91.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$237.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+245.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+245.6%+$55.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2025 May hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.