TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,498,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,230,194

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,498,151 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 951 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes11c153,577$16,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,637.442,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes16c132,979$21,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No79c113,277$89,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,619.532,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes22c101,091$22,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,731.1764446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Yes21c80,728$16,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,729.1428229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6880…cf03backed Yes19c75,263$14,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,3006048.3%29 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes15c68,991$10,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,476.418,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes9c47,969$4,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,135.5832031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes1c38,236$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.711468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No80c26,666$21,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,397.3313037.7%49 W · 81 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes16c26,106$4,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,064.9926534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes2c24,875$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.9434122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Yes8c23,201$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.0315040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes18c22,279$4,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,010.1933538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes19c21,914$4,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,163.983,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x108e…b771backed Yes19c21,495$4,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,084.055930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Yes19c21,000$3,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9901127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-58.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No79c19,922$15,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,251.536939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes18c17,217$3,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,027.5366846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes12c16,514$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90015337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes15c16,201$2,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3567632.9%25 W · 51 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes2c15,500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35046012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes2c15,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3608…b13dbacked Yes19c13,500$2,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5653036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+46.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes1c12,040$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4953.2%3 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0288…e926backed Yes19c10,526$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick33cpaid+95.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes19c10,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9004746.8%22 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes2c10,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf094…5290backed Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100434.7%2 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+136.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes23c9,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes18c8,812$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.091,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x323a…876fbacked Yes20c8,500$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70012035%42 W · 78 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes13c7,671$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.4645528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes11c7,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82525019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11be…7712backed Yes1c7,221$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9422620.4%46 W · 180 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes18c6,852$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.8835034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes16c6,707$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.4779231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe06b…def9backed Yes5c6,087$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.853823.7%9 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No80c6,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No80c6,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes6c5,936$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.2115127.8%42 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1685…6de4backed Yes22c5,797$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30027239%106 W · 166 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2668…9555backed Yes2c5,573$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958924.7%22 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03cf…7260backed Yes17c5,434$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.796627.3%18 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x236a…9a00backed Yes19c5,300$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.992927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Yes19c5,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009219.6%18 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a8…7245backed Yes19c5,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008725.3%22 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55014226.8%38 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef8d…b115backed Yes20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010224.5%25 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95034247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd59…8995backed Yes20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes23c4,899$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.0729916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3a…99b2backed Yes14c4,833$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008733.3%29 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes2c4,762$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015131.8%48 W · 103 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1d…eb2ebacked Yes24c4,684$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.8714542.8%62 W · 83 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f21…8daebacked Yes22c4,545$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No80c4,500$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No80c4,400$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88044144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes21c4,118$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.6493542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742e…99b2backed Yes16c4,106$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65523022.6%52 W · 178 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes24c3,869$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.4915650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70e9…836abacked Yes1c3,829$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509541.1%39 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bec…2163backed Yes19c3,743$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7281520%3 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-61.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Yes23c3,624$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.868627.9%24 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Yes15c3,440$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.1937223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x990e…7c36backed Yes19c3,294$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcce6…8fafbacked Yes19c3,158$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007152.1%37 W · 34 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8339…fd49backed Yes19c3,146$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.3128533%94 W · 191 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes2c3,144$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501219.1%11 W · 110 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No78c3,027$2,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.5610851.9%56 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Yes19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes15c2,990$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.4718438%70 W · 114 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x213d…eda5backed Yes19c2,900$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5593721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb587…75a7backed Yes19c2,868$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes19c2,840$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8630…158bbacked Yes15c2,796$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41210233.3%34 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes1c2,709$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.828731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cee…f7a7backed Yes19c2,632$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003122.6%7 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes19c2,630$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.725537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7089…dee0backed Yes14c2,615$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.94837.5%18 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7789…a2cebacked Yes1c2,540$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.76030%18 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015930.8%49 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Yes1c2,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Yes1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50047144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x573a…dcbfbacked Yes1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2560%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Yes20c2,395$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47517527.4%48 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes9c2,381$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.6965835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes19c2,366$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.5713237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9548…655fbacked Yes22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes14c2,238$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.6282537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes20c2,222$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.410012%12 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick12cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked Yes16c2,200$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.99638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes15c2,182$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.774,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Yes19c2,105$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40026644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc6…4690backed Yes19c2,100$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3992832.1%9 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x523d…2b5ebacked Yes24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-57.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Yes24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4807648.7%37 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.