Fifa International · resolved market
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9d96f957f3f5e4ffa0e920087edf967c4cc353e9d1ad0c2d7ae928b32b61cb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,274,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,392,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,274,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 4,746 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 28c | 1,949,575$545,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545,881.14 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 29c | 1,008,908$288,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288,340.08 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 73c | 390,108$286,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,974.71 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 72c | 330,117$238,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,812.38 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes | 72c | 275,643$198,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,180.16 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 72c | 257,011$184,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,352.84 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 16c | 239,421$37,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,114.47 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…a84bbacked No | 29c | 238,925$69,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,288.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 72c | 204,564$146,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,138.9 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 31c | 204,163$62,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,712.18 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 78c | 202,481$157,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,484.47 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 13c | 190,015$25,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,249.83 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed No | 28c | 151,458$42,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,408.29 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked No | 29c | 147,876$42,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,884.18 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Yes | 72c | 138,888$99,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,888.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 76c | 124,417$94,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,722.33 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes | 71c | 120,000$85,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,799.92 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 28c | 106,047$29,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,841.51 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 72c | 105,319$75,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,489.27 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Yes | 74c | 101,678$75,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,202.81 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 73c | 100,118$72,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,221.77 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…9458backed No | 29c | 100,000$29,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,000 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed No | 16c | 95,503$14,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,907.36 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…cf03backed Yes | 72c | 80,714$58,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,599.83 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 15c | 80,683$12,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,049.91 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…2a64backed No | 28c | 75,073$21,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,020.53 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 12c | 71,244$8,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,417.07 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 5c | 70,439$3,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,657.38 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x620c…4baebacked Yes | 71c | 70,000$49,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,300 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…1eebbacked Yes | 72c | 68,782$49,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,258.95 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 25c | 68,188$17,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,337.82 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 27c | 67,953$18,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,079.7 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 1c | 67,832$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.69 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 70c | 66,527$46,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,692.45 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 28c | 66,294$18,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,828.26 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed No | 4c | 63,574$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.09 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…a463backed No | 28c | 63,220$17,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,851.51 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…90b2backed Yes | 72c | 61,119$44,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,113.32 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 72c | 60,000$43,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,800 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 29c | 58,810$17,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,210.98 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed No | 17c | 57,567$9,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,849.02 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 71c | 56,338$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,338.03 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 72c | 53,738$38,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,800.32 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 72c | 52,167$37,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,625.64 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 29c | 51,342$14,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,745.75 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Yes | 72c | 50,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,000 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 79c | 48,546$38,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,049.94 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 24c | 41,378$10,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,064.24 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…9d59backed Yes | 71c | 40,189$28,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,824.73 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 67c | 40,000$26,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.99 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 25c | 37,252$9,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,420.92 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked No | 13c | 37,231$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 72c | 37,170$26,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,407.47 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 30c | 35,357$10,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,700.02 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Yes | 76c | 34,490$26,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,232.81 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 33c | 31,738$10,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,473.51 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed No | 24c | 30,832$7,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,251.76 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed No | 27c | 30,051$8,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,251.98 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 4c | 30,050$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.22 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Yes | 72c | 30,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 28c | 29,998$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,549.54 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 6c | 29,885$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.66 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 76c | 29,447$22,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,964.37 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 72c | 29,362$21,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,183.6 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 22c | 29,048$6,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,349.91 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 29c | 28,204$8,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,179.19 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 72c | 27,752$20,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,698.99 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 72c | 27,120$19,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,656.66 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 19c | 26,574$5,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,069.45 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…2fa7backed Yes | 72c | 25,931$18,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,260.72 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No | 14c | 25,657$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.65 | 229 | 33.6%77 W · 152 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 19c | 24,383$4,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,514.02 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed No | 21c | 23,885$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100.25 | 217 | 38.7%84 W · 133 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 3c | 23,584$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.72 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 33c | 22,800$7,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,524 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 66c | 22,452$14,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,536.98 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…7e90backed No | 13c | 21,716$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.14 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…45c6backed Yes | 71c | 21,029$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,028.95 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 76c | 20,759$15,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,959.72 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed No | 29c | 20,584$5,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,909.5 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…eab7backed No | 28c | 20,494$5,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,738.36 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…2816backed No | 13c | 20,145$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.38 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes | 72c | 20,000$14,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…7c83backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed Yes | 72c | 19,562$14,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,534.53 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…f2a3backed No | 29c | 19,000$5,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,509.86 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 16c | 18,652$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.17 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 72c | 18,500$13,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,180 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 77c | 18,099$13,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,235.74 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…2523backed No | 27c | 17,188$4,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,687.57 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 29c | 17,114$4,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,902.16 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…5541backed No | 20c | 16,901$3,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431.1 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 72c | 16,759$12,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,735.39 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…da35backed Yes | 72c | 16,526$11,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,653.56 | 82 | 62.2%51 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Yes | 67c | 16,402$10,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,408.69 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…5f8ebacked Yes | 79c | 16,379$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 20c | 16,341$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked No | 0c | 16,233$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 174 | 16.1%28 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…2601backed No | 28c | 15,637$4,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,378.36 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed No | 29c | 15,593$4,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,522.07 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will United States win on 2026-07-01?this page
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?No won
- Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.