TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x895d…f2a3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Mls, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5939%23 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14,567Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$10,582.88
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,515Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.1%+$5,963.19
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15,185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$8,212.99
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.62
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,552Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$6,647.9
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$9,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,345.68
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$4,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,340.13
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$8,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,899.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,007.79
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,344Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$5,099.76
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,870
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,598.49
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,998Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$18,413.76
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,912Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,912.47
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$870
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$5,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,024.91
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$5,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,509.86
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.37
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,150
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$103
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$4,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,369.92
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,949Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,948.6
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,849Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,848.59
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,071.81
Will England win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$308
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$1,017.38
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,230
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,015.35
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$2,073.48
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$192.24
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,485Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$4,014.96
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,081.44
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$933Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$932.88
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.21
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,476Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+99.8%+$1,472.43
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,016Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$356.98
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$180.04
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.22
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,799.98
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$1,152
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.95
Will Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$105
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$4.54
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.67
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.8
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Walczaki (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Cbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.7
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Cbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.87
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.55
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group Bbacked Gatorian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.45
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.32
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked OLDBOYS- · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$38.32
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.72
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$19.02
Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked WRAITH PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$295.49
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.5
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.05
Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked CHAOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.38
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.8
LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.99
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$300.6
LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonbacked CITA Kaizen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.55
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$116.73
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$123.45
LoL: University of Mississippi vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked University of Mississippi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.36
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.5
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.5
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+56%+$88.33
All 11 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+22.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.7
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.54
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.08
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,264Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$1,942.54
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.25
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.09
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.43
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.