Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x299e57d54c55b0353b601f4eb6c9c16881f23bfb5bf0d5027e4f87f39a19f6a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 75c | 6,367$4,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.9 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 25c | 5,228$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.8 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 3,295$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.37 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 21c | 1,229$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.3 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 69c | 802.99$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 62c | 235.93$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 19c | 189.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.88 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 20c | 135.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…9fe0backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…f2a3backed Yes | 69c | 109.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d7…e943backed Yes | 71c | 99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Yes | 18c | 81.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 62c | 61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 79c | 39.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 62c | 25.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 76c | 23.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 78c | 19.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…0f12backed Yes | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will KF Víkingur vs. FK Borac Banja Luka end in a draw?No won
- Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.