TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
OLDBOYS-of Falcons Force, OLDBOYS-
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,428
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,820

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,428 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7460…de6ebacked Falcons Force50c2,900$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45043951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Falcons Force47c2,667$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.85,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Falcons Force49c1,802$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.272,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed OLDBOYS-50c1,171$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.31,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e8…0105backed OLDBOYS-51c1,136$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.76350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked OLDBOYS-50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5007250%36 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Falcons Force53c998.99$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.4724551.8%127 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Falcons Force51c956.2$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.6645465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Falcons Force46c952.15$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.992,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed OLDBOYS-57c948.5$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.9280942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Falcons Force30c918.27$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.681,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked OLDBOYS-54c694.29$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.3719351.3%99 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed OLDBOYS-51c650$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32121351.2%109 W · 104 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked OLDBOYS-50c588$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.7238844.3%172 W · 216 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Falcons Force47c585.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.4217240.1%69 W · 103 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed OLDBOYS-54c523$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23847447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked OLDBOYS-66c455.93$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.357,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1c7…38e1backed Falcons Force45c430.45$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.195547.3%26 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd976…7636backed OLDBOYS-47c423.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.3911155%61 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Falcons Force48c417.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.022,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f1…dcbebacked OLDBOYS-51c410.08$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.941533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed OLDBOYS-59c404.76$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.925,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Falcons Force50c400.32$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7499148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…f6c5backed OLDBOYS-53c377.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.055848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd10f…bef4backed OLDBOYS-54c371.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.593847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Falcons Force47c370.2$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.472,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa5b…7650backed Falcons Force54c365.31$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.085628.6%16 W · 40 L-9.5wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-37.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Falcons Force49c356$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.445,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Falcons Force52c338.89$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.9927552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2167…fa33backed OLDBOYS-54c317.04$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.239047.8%43 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed OLDBOYS-50c303.8$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.925147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked OLDBOYS-53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14191945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked OLDBOYS-46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16217142.1%72 W · 99 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked OLDBOYS-47c294.77$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7763541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0710…9335backed Falcons Force27c252$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6913127.5%36 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Falcons Force41c246$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.91,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed OLDBOYS-48c236.16$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.012,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Falcons Force53c235.44$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.394,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked OLDBOYS-61c231.3$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1362738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb52c…77abbacked OLDBOYS-54c223.58$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.581758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed OLDBOYS-54c222.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.184641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked OLDBOYS-47c221.28$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2810137.6%38 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed OLDBOYS-53c205$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3517758.2%103 W · 74 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked OLDBOYS-74c203.68$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6844675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OLDBOYS-77c202.84$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.635,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc542…7fe1backed OLDBOYS-72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de0…7429backed Falcons Force50c198.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010556.2%59 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed OLDBOYS-52c194.32$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3219245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed OLDBOYS-55c190.9$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0144343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Falcons Force45c181.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.974054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…3053backed OLDBOYS-53c179.42$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.382133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Falcons Force40c179.32$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.173,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Falcons Force50c176.3$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8837949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked OLDBOYS-52c172.55$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8217055.3%94 W · 76 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed OLDBOYS-51c172$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.28650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Falcons Force43c160.88$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1849941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed OLDBOYS-51c154$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4666436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48bf…f7e2backed Falcons Force44c152.36$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.166637.9%25 W · 41 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked Falcons Force47c152.26$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9817449.4%86 W · 88 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed OLDBOYS-53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.54,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed OLDBOYS-67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2540449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked OLDBOYS-52c136.81$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7734140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Falcons Force30c133.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.245238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Falcons Force22c130.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.111030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked OLDBOYS-50c125.23$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3631647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Falcons Force24c118.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.262,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed OLDBOYS-53c116.81$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.98549.4%42 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Falcons Force31c112$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.723,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed OLDBOYS-58c107$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.812,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked OLDBOYS-51c106$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.976155.7%34 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked OLDBOYS-47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5395642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed OLDBOYS-75c92.76$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7613655.9%76 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Falcons Force39c85.28$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.222,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4db1…528cbacked OLDBOYS-51c83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.677150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f61…7ea7backed Falcons Force22c82.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Falcons Force31c79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1632139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Falcons Force50c78.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.950051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Falcons Force50c74.62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1534750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x895d…f2a3backed OLDBOYS-46c70.96$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.321421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed OLDBOYS-51c69.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+76%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed Falcons Force46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3083856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Falcons Force30c60.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.31,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe522…8c25backed Falcons Force51c59.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.373638.9%14 W · 22 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed OLDBOYS-51c58.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6132844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed OLDBOYS-53c56.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.794744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Falcons Force29c56.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.492,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Falcons Force46c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.31,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed OLDBOYS-73c54.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6330859.1%182 W · 126 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54fa…2c2ebacked Falcons Force36c53.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.411936.8%7 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked OLDBOYS-48c51.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5452645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed OLDBOYS-50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2518233%60 W · 122 L-22.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Falcons Force45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.53,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…0813backed Falcons Force42c49.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120067%134 W · 66 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Falcons Force51c47.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.382552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Falcons Force46c44.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.71,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked OLDBOYS-53c44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.872,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc29c…1e43backed OLDBOYS-60c41.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9723654.7%129 W · 107 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x040f…2f31backed OLDBOYS-66c41.62$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.161361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Falcons Force50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012844.5%57 W · 71 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Falcons Force49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7367750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.