TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9051…32d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
308
Categories scored
1
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT30859.1%182 W · 126 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 308 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.42
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group Bbacked QUAZAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$32.86
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$50.05
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 Winnerbacked SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$19.07
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$103.87
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$32.3
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Endless Journey - Map 1 Winnerbacked Endless Journey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$64.45
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.34
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs SAW Youngsters - Map 2 Winnerbacked SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$60.91
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Fortress - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fortress · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+153.6%+$92.13
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs 1WIN (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.99
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winnerbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$23.74
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Julie&cie - Map 1 Winnerbacked eternal premium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs ALKA - Map 1 Winnerbacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$18.87
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.69
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+96.8%+$58.06
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Just Players - Map 1 Winnerbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$22.28
Counter-Strike: Fortress vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 Winnerbacked SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$16.25
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs QUAZAR (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group Bbacked ENJOY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.77
Showing 25 of 308 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.