CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fortress vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5d70d598b472e6df760b9f1a0568ec70136dc1d595ac124f0132a51a062110f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAW Youngstersof Fortress, SAW Youngsters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4036…0dd9backed Fortress | 27c | 917.25$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.66 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked SAW Youngsters | 73c | 917.25$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.66 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked SAW Youngsters | 76c | 750.35$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.1 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SAW Youngsters | 76c | 717.73$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.71 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked SAW Youngsters | 78c | 620.99$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.3 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed SAW Youngsters | 78c | 592.57$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.62 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Fortress | 23c | 408.55$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 186 | 45.2%84 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Fortress | 18c | 345$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SAW Youngsters | 74c | 303.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fortress | 30c | 294.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fortress | 32c | 240$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Fortress | 28c | 177.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fortress | 20c | 136.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Fortress | 28c | 136$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Fortress | 26c | 113$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SAW Youngsters | 72c | 107.37$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fortress | 26c | 102.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked SAW Youngsters | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 226 | 58%131 W · 95 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed SAW Youngsters | 75c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 437 | 64.3%281 W · 156 L | +51.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed SAW Youngsters | 79c | 76.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SAW Youngsters | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SAW Youngsters | 73c | 59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Fortress | 26c | 52.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SAW Youngsters | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed SAW Youngsters | 76c | 32.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 408 | 56.9%232 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed SAW Youngsters | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked SAW Youngsters | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked SAW Youngsters | 71c | 21.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked SAW Youngsters | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SAW Youngsters | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…442cbacked SAW Youngsters | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked SAW Youngsters | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 447 | 63.5%284 W · 163 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked SAW Youngsters | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group BSAW Youngsters won
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs SAW Youngsters - Map 2 WinnerSAW Youngsters won
- Map Handicap: SAW.Y (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)SAW Youngsters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.