CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SAW.Y (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2335b8994c4f42c963fb09e56e6f2a785de8c6ecb6f0ece369cec78d7fc3abda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAW Youngstersof SAW Youngsters, Fortress
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7857…bab6backed SAW Youngsters | 57c | 5,535$3,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.26 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed SAW Youngsters | 61c | 1,728$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.67 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Fortress | 41c | 1,250$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.23 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Fortress | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed SAW Youngsters | 66c | 920.2$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.4 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Fortress | 43c | 724.72$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Fortress | 39c | 709.18$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.58 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Fortress | 39c | 675.9$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.6 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked SAW Youngsters | 61c | 666.98$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.95 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Fortress | 34c | 641.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.75 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Fortress | 43c | 619$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.38 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed Fortress | 36c | 587.82$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.38 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Fortress | 36c | 551.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.38 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed SAW Youngsters | 64c | 534.6$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.15 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed SAW Youngsters | 65c | 509$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.15 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Fortress | 41c | 426.07$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Fortress | 46c | 425$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.61 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed SAW Youngsters | 61c | 409.26$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.22 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Fortress | 47c | 392.36$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.41 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Fortress | 39c | 370.64$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.23 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed SAW Youngsters | 60c | 299.02$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.61 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Fortress | 45c | 288.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…bb76backed Fortress | 42c | 262$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.04 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Fortress | 43c | 246.62$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked SAW Youngsters | 69c | 229.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Fortress | 42c | 219.89$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked SAW Youngsters | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Fortress | 39c | 191.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Fortress | 41c | 179.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Fortress | 47c | 158$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Fortress | 39c | 125.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Fortress | 37c | 109.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Fortress | 40c | 108$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Fortress | 51c | 108$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -7.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Fortress | 43c | 99.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed SAW Youngsters | 62c | 94.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked SAW Youngsters | 59c | 83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Fortress | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Fortress | 40c | 75.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked SAW Youngsters | 68c | 73.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Fortress | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Fortress | 43c | 68.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Fortress | 29c | 61.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked SAW Youngsters | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Fortress | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Fortress | 39c | 51.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked SAW Youngsters | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…673ebacked Fortress | 38c | 39.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Fortress | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b24…103bbacked Fortress | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…fa08backed Fortress | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…6fe4backed Fortress | 39c | 38.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Fortress | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…cb72backed Fortress | 39c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Fortress | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed SAW Youngsters | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SAW.Y (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group BSAW Youngsters won
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 WinnerSAW Youngsters won
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs SAW Youngsters - Map 2 WinnerSAW Youngsters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.