TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cd1…6fe4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: WNBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Game Handicap: ITZ (-1.5) vs 7REX (+1.5)backed INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.82
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+99%+$14.84
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.3
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.7
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.09
Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)backed Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.63
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs 7REX (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked 7REX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$23.98
Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5)backed Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$33.37
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.26
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.4
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.71
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.65
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.54
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)backed BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+1.5)backed Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffsbacked Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.25
Map Handicap: SAW.Y (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)backed Fortress · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.73
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.73
Valorant: Team Secret vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$21.8
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.79
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.2
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.83
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Radu Mihai Papoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Lexington: Moez Echargui vs Spencer Johnsonbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.63
Liberec: Joel Schwaerzler vs Maxim Mrvabacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.7
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NYJ vs. PIT: O/U 37.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Silkeborg IF vs. FC København: Silkeborg IF O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)backed Sporting Kansas City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.