TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$240,565
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$299,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,565 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Over23c69,376$15,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,706.511,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under77c54,170$41,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,671.741,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Under78c23,878$18,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,216.4869741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over24c23,243$5,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,578.3927735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Under76c15,768$11,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,852.8714852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4462…bfdfbacked Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Over14c9,520$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.851,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under74c7,306$5,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.2823948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6768…4ef1backed Under72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40010449%51 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Over28c4,265$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.047744.2%34 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked Under77c4,156$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.8428166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x615d…bd5bbacked Over24c3,638$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.957742.9%33 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over14c3,488$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.962,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5157…596fbacked Under77c3,221$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.841060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over24c3,216$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.8410546.7%49 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under77c3,192$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.446050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over26c2,737$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.5818336.6%67 W · 116 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Under73c2,645$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.021,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over24c2,508$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.999853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf184…c2d7backed Over24c2,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over23c2,306$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.912341.5%51 W · 72 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over26c2,185$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.4159248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaa5…4859backed Over26c2,123$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.054850%24 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over22c1,562$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.0490348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Under79c1,491$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.471,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6922…5d9cbacked Over25c1,439$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over2c1,345$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.231,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5409…79dbbacked Under78c1,300$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28630160.8%183 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a08…47afbacked Under77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.719346.6%90 W · 103 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed Over28c1,250$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Over25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30086649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Over21c1,193$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.721,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over25c1,169$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.2211943.7%52 W · 67 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under75c1,162$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.611,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x14bc…3904backed Over24c1,120$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.23825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-52.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under77c1,001$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.8625342.7%108 W · 145 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Over24c952.16$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22716035%56 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8579…185fbacked Under78c945.55$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.029046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee8b…dcd9backed Over23c859.59$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.711560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed Over27c847.67$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.871540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb74…3fabbacked Under75c801.86$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8619052.6%100 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed Under75c697$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.258542.4%36 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13dc…3d01backed Over15c681.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006142.6%26 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf898…deffbacked Under76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8928942.9%124 W · 165 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Over23c656.53$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.962451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Over26c643.16$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7224535.9%88 W · 157 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Over14c642.86$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9056432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Over28c640$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.790537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over15c524.49$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.692,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.142,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over24c500$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.962,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Over25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12515457.8%89 W · 65 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac7…8a43backed Over6c499.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018132.6%59 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Under78c495.58$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0463742.7%272 W · 365 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under73c474$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.192,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0026…b117backed Under76c441.3$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.911181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick66cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over18c420.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.591,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Over15c408.8$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3227745.1%125 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under76c400.16$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8222748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed Over26c341$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.669533.7%32 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x098d…6cc2backed Under75c333.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.336251.6%32 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over17c317.4$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.372,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Over26c315.38$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8219752.8%104 W · 93 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Over25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759537.9%36 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over23c294.5$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4560243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Under76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1610949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over26c240$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.474637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb68c…7ef8backed Over25c235.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Over25c204$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516240.3%25 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012543.2%54 W · 71 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd83…597ebacked Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509244.6%41 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed1c…2e25backed Under75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508661.6%53 W · 33 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4238…3734backed Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506643.9%29 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Under77c187.01$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.379953.5%53 W · 46 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Over26c186.91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.671,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Over25c180$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid0%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Over26c170.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4512447.6%59 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over25c162$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7519553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Over24c150.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.539445.2%178 W · 216 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b17…fdbfbacked Under75c146.67$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6718159.7%108 W · 73 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over25c143.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.851,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b34…c94fbacked Under75c141.95$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over26c140$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.413242.4%56 W · 76 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under74c138.88$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1124643.1%106 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18c0…e808backed Under75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.338855.7%49 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6b…6e11backed Under76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa8…e33ebacked Under73c131.51$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5111560.9%70 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Under77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.873151.6%16 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Under75c129$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2535848.9%175 W · 183 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf9…b521backed Over25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa7…8332backed Over25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed Over25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306746.3%31 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under75c112.32$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2630731.6%97 W · 210 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2175…4b33backed Over25c112$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5a4…0182backed Over26c109.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under79c102.42$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.691,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacc8…eb83backed Under74c102.2$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.23455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Under75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2510657.5%61 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.