Lol · resolved market
First Blood in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x541da6fe0f82c0b6469ec91adece607ae973a6278bd6188a9820f3eab76589cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanwha Life Esportsof Hanwha Life Esports, Team Secret Whales
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71a9…da0abacked Hanwha Life Esports | 65c | 1,030$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.65 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Secret Whales | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Team Secret Whales | 5c | 643.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Secret Whales | 33c | 315.79$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1890…3a35backed Hanwha Life Esports | 64c | 244.86$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab53…f5b2backed Hanwha Life Esports | 65c | 187.58$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Team Secret Whales | 35c | 180$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Team Secret Whales | 36c | 149.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Team Secret Whales | 37c | 149.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…9ea8backed Hanwha Life Esports | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 128 | 69.5%89 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Hanwha Life Esports | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 261 | 50.6%132 W · 129 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Team Secret Whales | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1992…4ef7backed Hanwha Life Esports | 63c | 54.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 236 | 65.7%155 W · 81 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a08…47afbacked Team Secret Whales | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…294abacked Hanwha Life Esports | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…deffbacked Team Secret Whales | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 289 | 42.9%124 W · 165 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Team Secret Whales | 37c | 30.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 581 | 55.6%323 W · 258 L | +17.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Team Secret Whales | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…4a20backed Hanwha Life Esports | 64c | 28.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 855 | 54.7%468 W · 387 L | +33.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…464ebacked Hanwha Life Esports | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…2dc2backed Hanwha Life Esports | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed Hanwha Life Esports | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- First Blood in Game 1?this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Hanwha Life Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.