Lol · resolved market

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8b64d6e18c9fb47d686796b05e7ba94d9293ed09b62f8abce2777ce518b7bed

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hanwha Life Esportsof Hanwha Life Esports, Team Secret Whales
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $641,550
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $636,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $641,550 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4337…8882backed Team Secret Whales	1c	55,555$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722.21	1,098	34.8%382 W · 716 L	-17.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Team Secret Whales	1c	31,430$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.86	675	49%331 W · 344 L	+10.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Team Secret Whales	2c	31,000$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529	1,827	45.6%834 W · 993 L	+26.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Secret Whales	2c	27,064$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.45	1,092	52.4%572 W · 520 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf024…fbd3backed Team Secret Whales	2c	23,008$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.16	165	46.7%77 W · 88 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Team Secret Whales	0c	21,868$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.12	629	7%44 W · 585 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10ee…7b23backed Team Secret Whales	0c	21,139$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.42	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Team Secret Whales	2c	18,005$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.03	282	40.8%115 W · 167 L	-16.1wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked Team Secret Whales	1c	17,245$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.74	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Team Secret Whales	1c	16,914$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.65	2,362	32%755 W · 1,607 L	+42.0wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6791…3145backed Team Secret Whales	1c	16,675$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.03	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc6…448ebacked Team Secret Whales	1c	15,034$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	78	24.4%19 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14bc…3904backed Team Secret Whales	2c	12,855$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.27	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Team Secret Whales	1c	10,811$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.99	123	26%32 W · 91 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x524a…4b1cbacked Team Secret Whales	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Team Secret Whales	2c	9,180$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.67	487	42.3%206 W · 281 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Team Secret Whales	1c	7,510$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.26	114	0%0 W · 114 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Secret Whales	1c	7,313$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.47	1,587	43.8%695 W · 892 L	-73.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x134d…b07bbacked Team Secret Whales	2c	6,433$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.21	102	31.4%32 W · 70 L	-7.0wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Team Secret Whales	1c	6,400$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.49	972	54.3%528 W · 444 L	+46.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Team Secret Whales	0c	6,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	10	10%1 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-83.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Team Secret Whales	2c	5,987$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.49	88	39.8%35 W · 53 L	-6.7wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed Team Secret Whales	0c	5,634$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	64	18.8%12 W · 52 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e17…2301backed Team Secret Whales	2c	5,329$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.18	131	21.4%28 W · 103 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Secret Whales	1c	5,315$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.42	903	48.4%437 W · 466 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b26…6091backed Team Secret Whales	2c	4,884$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Team Secret Whales	1c	4,756$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6136…64f8backed Team Secret Whales	2c	4,167$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	244	36.9%90 W · 154 L	-18.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1574…7b2abacked Team Secret Whales	2c	4,000$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Secret Whales	2c	3,500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	1,206	43.5%525 W · 681 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Team Secret Whales	1c	3,412$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.42	348	35.3%123 W · 225 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed Team Secret Whales	1c	3,336$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	170	32.4%55 W · 115 L	+12.1wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Team Secret Whales	3c	3,333$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.67	106	41.5%44 W · 62 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0f8…6b50backed Team Secret Whales	3c	3,000$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	129	31.8%41 W · 88 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Team Secret Whales	2c	2,740$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.1	40	20%8 W · 32 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Team Secret Whales	1c	2,680$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.77	289	38.4%111 W · 178 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed Team Secret Whales	1c	2,539$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	95	16.8%16 W · 79 L	-9.0wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc85f…5be6backed Team Secret Whales	1c	2,535$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.23per pick	21cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Team Secret Whales	2c	2,199$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	253	32%81 W · 172 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc648…dcc2backed Team Secret Whales	3c	2,115$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.81	222	38.7%86 W · 136 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Team Secret Whales	2c	2,000$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	544	29.6%161 W · 383 L	-35.2wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa0a…30b2backed Team Secret Whales	1c	2,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.15per pick	13cpaid	+389.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Team Secret Whales	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	592	0%0 W · 592 L	-7.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Secret Whales	1c	1,988$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.28	849	42.5%361 W · 488 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Team Secret Whales	2c	1,879$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.1	218	44%96 W · 122 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c5…6394backed Team Secret Whales	1c	1,790$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	86	26.7%23 W · 63 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed Team Secret Whales	2c	1,785$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.35	118	60.2%71 W · 47 L	+12.1wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+44.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab65…1f0dbacked Team Secret Whales	3c	1,748$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.36	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked Team Secret Whales	2c	1,533$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.68	134	29.1%39 W · 95 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed Team Secret Whales	1c	1,528$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.69	243	23%56 W · 187 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Team Secret Whales	2c	1,502$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.03	470	47.4%223 W · 247 L	+24.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+20%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Team Secret Whales	2c	1,500$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.9	148	7.4%11 W · 137 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed Team Secret Whales	2c	1,458$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	436	40.6%177 W · 259 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f20…186bbacked Team Secret Whales	2c	1,435$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe82c…4d90backed Team Secret Whales	3c	1,305$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.24	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.16per pick	42cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3d…34efbacked Team Secret Whales	2c	1,300$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	176	48.3%85 W · 91 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa383…c71dbacked Team Secret Whales	2c	1,200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Team Secret Whales	2c	1,156$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.47	432	38%164 W · 268 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5bc…2c49backed Team Secret Whales	2c	1,141$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	80	28.8%23 W · 57 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Secret Whales	2c	1,049$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.97	1,818	39.9%726 W · 1,092 L	-59.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a52…c0e8backed Team Secret Whales	2c	999.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	355	16.3%58 W · 297 L	-25.9wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe736…9d9fbacked Team Secret Whales	2c	982.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Team Secret Whales	2c	924.24$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	123	41.5%51 W · 72 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Team Secret Whales	2c	892.69$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.53	62	8.1%5 W · 57 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Team Secret Whales	2c	842.11$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	147	61.9%91 W · 56 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed Team Secret Whales	2c	760$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4105…9f14backed Team Secret Whales	2c	666.67$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+62.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f9f…fdfcbacked Team Secret Whales	2c	526.32$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	278	51.8%144 W · 134 L	-12.4wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked Team Secret Whales	2c	505.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.11	520	49.2%256 W · 264 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4631…09c8backed Team Secret Whales	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	53	47.2%25 W · 28 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsthis page
First Blood in Game 1?Hanwha Life Esports won
First Blood in Game 2?Hanwha Life Esports won
First Blood in Game 3?Hanwha Life Esports won
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event