Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22db58e663e48bf2bf5b4f840a6a0b374baaf8b31a9ef85b564f1bcf8ca661e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.91 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 48c | 6,366$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.73 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 53c | 1,207$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.42 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Over | 48c | 995$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.6 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…6107backed Under | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Over | 48c | 893.94$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.09 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 48c | 763.75$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.6 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Over | 48c | 512$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.76 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Over | 47c | 496$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.4 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 219 | 46.6%102 W · 117 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 46c | 371.93$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.09 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Over | 47c | 298$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.06 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec04…1bcebacked Over | 47c | 227.66$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04cc…72b8backed Under | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f70…123dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…c701backed Over | 48c | 199.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 54c | 198.59$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 8c | 194.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked Under | 54c | 165.52$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 51c | 122.45$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 46c | 110.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Over | 46c | 109.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Under | 50c | 105$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…294abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 51c | 99.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 49c | 95.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2d…8a1dbacked Under | 11c | 91.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +122%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Under | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Under | 62c | 78.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.31per pick | 63cpaid | +427.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 52c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Over | 46c | 59.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Over | 48c | 50.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 396 | 52%206 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 59c | 42.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Over | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a4…0182backed Over | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 46c | 31.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 49c | 30.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 386 | 55.2%213 W · 173 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…3c4cbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Hanwha Life Esports won
- First Blood in Game 2?Hanwha Life Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.