TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e2d…8a1d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 62 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+122%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+182.5%+$44.9
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$81.6
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming Youth Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.04
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winnerbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$40.8
Game Handicap: LGD (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$190
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.21
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.78
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.42
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$25.52
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.1
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$25.8
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$78.27
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.4
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$89
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$95
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+525%+$209.99
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.5
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$35.39
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.04
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.15
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 166.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 166.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 174.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$42.5
New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 174.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+141.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+397.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kozyreva/Lumsden vs. Guarachi/Harrison: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.22
Amanda Anisimova vs. Belinda Bencic: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+895%+$179.9
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.