Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25acfb9f6fca1f995b6c70d8744dd8a3cdcc4b599a560f581eea11b9681e7549
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dragon Ranger Gamingof XLG Gaming, Dragon Ranger Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed XLG Gaming | 46c | 37,381$17,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,012.35 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 55c | 18,978$10,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,629.83 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 56c | 9,874$5,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,344.6 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 55c | 4,025$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 58c | 3,416$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.81 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked XLG Gaming | 45c | 3,229$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.27 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked XLG Gaming | 43c | 3,159$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.48 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 55c | 2,800$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.97 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed XLG Gaming | 42c | 2,304$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.26 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 51c | 2,130$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.69 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 57c | 1,756$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.14 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.99 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 53c | 1,371$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.56 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed XLG Gaming | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -7.2wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed XLG Gaming | 44c | 1,006$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.81 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked XLG Gaming | 44c | 913.18$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.47 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked XLG Gaming | 43c | 887.99$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.84 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked XLG Gaming | 44c | 704.55$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked XLG Gaming | 45c | 697.27$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.77 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed XLG Gaming | 44c | 549.81$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.3 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked XLG Gaming | 44c | 535.4$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 57c | 506.52$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.8 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed XLG Gaming | 42c | 440.94$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 58c | 419.76$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.85 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 55c | 395$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.75 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed XLG Gaming | 44c | 387.8$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.63 | 176 | 40.3%71 W · 105 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdd…9ba3backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 56c | 374.12$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…03bdbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0649…2dd7backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 57c | 321.95$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 53c | 275$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed XLG Gaming | 42c | 264.29$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2d…8a1dbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed XLG Gaming | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed XLG Gaming | 55c | 220.6$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.09 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked XLG Gaming | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked XLG Gaming | 49c | 173.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked XLG Gaming | 42c | 169.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 59c | 169.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed XLG Gaming | 41c | 163.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked XLG Gaming | 72c | 139.59$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed XLG Gaming | 43c | 109.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed XLG Gaming | 49c | 106.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 56c | 97.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a0…29acbacked XLG Gaming | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 57c | 90.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 71c | 80.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…29b9backed XLG Gaming | 44c | 67.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…1701backed XLG Gaming | 43c | 50.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…c45dbacked XLG Gaming | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 55c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 56c | 40.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked XLG Gaming | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…a420backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 53c | 30.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 59c | 29.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed XLG Gaming | 43c | 28.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616a…8339backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 58c | 27.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed XLG Gaming | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 56c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d2…1945backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 56c | 26.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a6fabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 56c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 51c | 20.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…2d8dbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 56c | 19.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-3.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+3.5)Dragon Ranger Gaming won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-3.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+3.5)XLG Gaming won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5Over won
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group StageXLG Gaming won
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 WinnerDragon Ranger Gaming won
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 WinnerXLG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.