TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Spurs, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,466
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,091

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,466 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Spurs43c13,953$6,000 inLost-$5,999.9917251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves57c10,701$6,100 inWon+$4,601.382,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Timberwolves57c1,336$760 inWon+$576.8820353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Timberwolves48c1,075$516 inWon+$559.0450346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8c…85fbbacked Spurs52c962.1$500 inLost-$5002254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61a8…519dbacked Timberwolves57c788.43$447 inWon+$341.074161%25 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs46c694.61$322 inLost-$322.31,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Timberwolves57c666.59$381 inWon+$285.621,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Timberwolves57c532.34$301 inWon+$231.4120558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Spurs55c364.72$200 inLost-$20011850.8%60 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Timberwolves53c298.07$158 inWon+$139.991,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3af…aca1backed Timberwolves51c291.34$150 inWon+$141.342343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Timberwolves56c200$113 inWon+$87.228056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Spurs23c199.09$46 inLost-$45.5423741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Timberwolves57c175.44$100 inWon+$75.4420651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Timberwolves42c172.41$72 inWon+$10079650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked Spurs45c154.04$70 inLost-$708655.8%48 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs45c145.24$65 inLost-$64.661,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Spurs49c138.51$68 inLost-$67.5644740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Spurs60c108.16$65 inLost-$65.1617052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Timberwolves57c105.46$60 inWon+$45.4622844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa776…adaebacked Timberwolves51c104.48$54 inWon+$50.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Spurs48c102.62$49 inLost-$48.8962047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2d…8a1dbacked Timberwolves39c100$39 inWon+$617100%7 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+141.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Timberwolves65c97.37$63 inWon+$33.9330842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Timberwolves52c96.75$50 inWon+$46.7521843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Timberwolves56c93.41$53 inWon+$40.7242740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Timberwolves57c90$51 inWon+$38.713047.7%62 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves53c74.04$39 inWon+$34.82,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x061a…89dcbacked Spurs59c50.52$30 inLost-$29.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Timberwolves54c48.81$26 inWon+$22.5714860.1%89 W · 59 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Spurs52c48.18$25 inLost-$2540853.7%219 W · 189 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Spurs50c40$20 inLost-$2062049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Spurs52c38.13$20 inLost-$2021056.7%119 W · 91 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e27…9967backed Timberwolves59c29.93$18 inWon+$12.197261.1%44 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Spurs54c25$14 inLost-$13.533556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x320f…58ffbacked Timberwolves70c24$17 inWon+$7.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1fe…1cfdbacked Timberwolves50c20$10 inWon+$102763%17 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.