NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90307c3a5252a63dab5ae9fef1e3cf8b41b982ffafa3c026f67fa5058e3d922a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Timberwolves | 64c | 15,709$10,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,590.56 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Spurs | 34c | 10,482$3,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,564 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 7,629$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.63 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Spurs | 6c | 7,487$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.44 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Spurs | 35c | 7,143$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Timberwolves | 65c | 5,220$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.93 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Spurs | 43c | 4,019$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.17 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 10c | 3,624$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.48 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 3,246$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.61 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 30c | 2,743$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.3 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Spurs | 43c | 2,659$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.97 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs | 28c | 2,532$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.96 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Timberwolves | 66c | 2,171$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.37 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 42c | 2,128$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.26 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Timberwolves | 57c | 2,106$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.64 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Spurs | 34c | 2,097$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.51 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 9c | 2,052$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.15 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Spurs | 12c | 1,624$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.1 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Spurs | 37c | 1,600$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.83 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Timberwolves | 66c | 1,212$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.12 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 40c | 1,137$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.54 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.85 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 999.91$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.97 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Spurs | 36c | 978.57$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Timberwolves | 64c | 921.77$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.84 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 16c | 859.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.17 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 857.62$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.21 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Spurs | 18c | 827.39$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.93 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a9…22cdbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 814.76$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs | 12c | 779.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2047…9240backed Timberwolves | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Spurs | 36c | 691.81$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.05 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Timberwolves | 62c | 641.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.67 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Spurs | 17c | 618.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.48 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Spurs | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Spurs | 14c | 583$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…add4backed Timberwolves | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Spurs | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Spurs | 43c | 478.65$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.36 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 56c | 391.88$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.74 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Timberwolves | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Timberwolves | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs | 37c | 322.59$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.49 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7371…4f5cbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 299.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Spurs | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Spurs | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Timberwolves | 55c | 239.26$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.67 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Timberwolves | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 296 | 65.5%194 W · 102 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Spurs | 14c | 225.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Timberwolves | 67c | 225.16$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Spurs | 46c | 215.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…1fe9backed Spurs | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 197.09$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.38 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Timberwolves | 61c | 193.44$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Timberwolves | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Spurs | 34c | 161$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Timberwolves | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Timberwolves | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Spurs | 12c | 152.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs | 46c | 152$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…b057backed Timberwolves | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 211 | 64.5%136 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Timberwolves | 66c | 151.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Spurs | 33c | 149.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Spurs | 38c | 149.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…e26abacked Timberwolves | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Spurs | 32c | 137.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Timberwolves | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Spurs | 12c | 135.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Spurs | 42c | 130$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 35c | 128.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d2…3cf0backed Timberwolves | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Spurs | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Timberwolves | 71c | 111.65$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…807ebacked Timberwolves | 64c | 107.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 107.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 103.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Timberwolves | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Spurs | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…263ebacked Timberwolves | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 40c | 98.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Spurs | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Timberwolves | 54c | 93.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Spurs | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8b…3f30backed Timberwolves | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Spurs | 12c | 88.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 259 | 58.3%151 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Spurs | 46c | 83.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 39c | 81.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…b944backed Spurs | 25c | 81.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Timberwolves | 73c | 77.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…f3c0backed Timberwolves | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 75.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Spurs | 40c | 70.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…4c45backed Timberwolves | 69c | 69.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Spurs | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.