TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Spurs, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,553 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Timberwolves64c15,709$10,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,590.5617553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Spurs34c10,482$3,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,56411864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves66c7,629$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.6336549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Spurs6c7,487$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.4418835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Spurs35c7,143$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50017249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Timberwolves65c5,220$3,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.9389853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Spurs43c4,019$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.1716743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs10c3,624$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.482,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Timberwolves57c3,246$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.615453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs30c2,743$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.38,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Spurs43c2,659$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.9765045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs28c2,532$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.961,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Timberwolves66c2,171$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.3742348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs42c2,128$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.2666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Timberwolves57c2,106$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.6464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Spurs34c2,097$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.5128643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs9c2,052$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.153,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Spurs12c1,624$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.136051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Spurs37c1,600$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.8344740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Timberwolves66c1,212$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.1216555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs40c1,137$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.541,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves55c1,111$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.8569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Timberwolves65c999.91$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.9714334.3%49 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Spurs36c978.57$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34829040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Timberwolves64c921.77$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.8459140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs16c859.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.171,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves63c857.62$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.216,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Spurs18c827.39$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.931,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76a9…22cdbacked Timberwolves61c814.76$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.76728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs12c779.88$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5925150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2047…9240backed Timberwolves57c700$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3012369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked Spurs36c691.81$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.052236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Timberwolves62c641.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.675257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Spurs17c618.21$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4826336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Spurs45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27035546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Spurs14c583$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.32,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x276b…add4backed Timberwolves57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3212451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Spurs36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18013544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Spurs43c478.65$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.368247.6%39 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves56c391.88$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.744,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Timberwolves57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8847651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Timberwolves54c350$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16139435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs37c322.59$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4952150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Timberwolves57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12912434.7%43 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7371…4f5cbacked Timberwolves58c299.98$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Spurs35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81d7…32d8backed Spurs36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006844.1%30 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Timberwolves55c239.26$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6716642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Timberwolves66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2729665.5%194 W · 102 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spurs14c225.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2789048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Timberwolves67c225.16$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.310740.2%43 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Spurs46c215.85$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2929243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x744b…1fe9backed Spurs45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Timberwolves56c197.09$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Timberwolves61c193.44$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.446456.3%36 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Timberwolves60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6790957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Spurs34c161$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Timberwolves65c154$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.91,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Timberwolves65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Spurs12c152.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3459255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs46c152$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.922,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46df…b057backed Timberwolves66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5221164.5%136 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Timberwolves66c151.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5146959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Spurs33c149.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.499627.1%26 W · 70 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Spurs38c149.44$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7520240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15fb…e26abacked Timberwolves67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.253545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Spurs32c137.16$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.362532%8 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Timberwolves73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9934849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Spurs12c135.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2911057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Spurs42c130$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.62,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs35c128.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.644,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d2…3cf0backed Timberwolves56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551816.7%3 W · 15 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-69.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Spurs41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Timberwolves71c111.65$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3823342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe977…807ebacked Timberwolves64c107.83$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.82862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Timberwolves54c107.36$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2921056.7%119 W · 91 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Timberwolves66c103.03$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.036656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Timberwolves61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3922170.6%156 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Spurs46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4625651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc466…263ebacked Timberwolves56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Timberwolves53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478555.3%47 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs40c98.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.541,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Spurs36c97.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Timberwolves54c93.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0310247.1%48 W · 54 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Spurs43c90$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.742434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8b…3f30backed Timberwolves56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Spurs12c88.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6625958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Spurs46c83.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3317250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs39c81.44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.631,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f7…b944backed Spurs25c81.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Timberwolves73c77.77$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7265630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x565c…f3c0backed Timberwolves66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7610855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51a2…051bbacked Timberwolves66c75.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.315642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Timberwolves54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.078748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Spurs40c70.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2613047.7%62 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dd2…4c45backed Timberwolves69c69.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.444027.5%11 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Timberwolves64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Timberwolves77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.836243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Spurs41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.671752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.