NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bedd090b1b4f3cb49ff1cba100591013a7ed509a09e2af41f9482f85e09596d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Timberwolves | 50c | 120,000$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,000 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Spurs | 50c | 100,670$50,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,327.98 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs | 48c | 15,243$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316.58 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Spurs | 50c | 15,165$7,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,582.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 8,607$4,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,855.38 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Spurs | 46c | 6,400$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Timberwolves | 55c | 6,148$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.73 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Timberwolves | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Spurs | 49c | 5,592$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.08 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Timberwolves | 52c | 4,715$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.38 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Timberwolves | 52c | 4,068$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.59 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs | 38c | 3,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 13c | 2,999$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.24 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 37c | 2,883$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,608$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.12 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Timberwolves | 62c | 2,413$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.68 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Timberwolves | 58c | 2,137$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.27 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,988$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.91 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Spurs | 50c | 1,839$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.4 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…3f9cbacked Spurs | 52c | 1,620$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves | 61c | 1,590$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.29 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Spurs | 44c | 1,537$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.86 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Spurs | 51c | 1,422$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.6 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,408$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.54 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…faffbacked Spurs | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Timberwolves | 79c | 1,315$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.58 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,238$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.71 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Spurs | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Spurs | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…ffa9backed Spurs | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 913$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.39 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Timberwolves | 50c | 818.63$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.08 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 39c | 747$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Spurs | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3983…4550backed Spurs | 42c | 574.22$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Spurs | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 511.17$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.26 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Timberwolves | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Spurs | 47c | 490.98$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.76 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Timberwolves | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Timberwolves | 52c | 467$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.16 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Timberwolves | 66c | 454.35$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Timberwolves | 56c | 452.26$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.83 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves | 51c | 431.38$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.37 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 418.52$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.7 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Spurs | 47c | 399.95$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Spurs | 15c | 386.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Timberwolves | 55c | 382$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.07 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 357.96$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Spurs | 51c | 343.96$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.73 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Timberwolves | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 337 | 49.3%166 W · 171 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 317.03$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.81 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Spurs | 38c | 310$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Spurs | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Spurs | 10c | 304$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Spurs | 38c | 257.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Timberwolves | 52c | 221.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Timberwolves | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Spurs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +8.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Spurs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d95…2342backed Spurs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Spurs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Spurs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed Timberwolves | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Timberwolves | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 224 | 42.9%96 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Timberwolves | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Timberwolves | 54c | 185.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 180.4$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Timberwolves | 56c | 176.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Spurs | 49c | 171$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Spurs | 45c | 162.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Spurs | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4beb…bd08backed Timberwolves | 67c | 153.64$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Spurs | 40c | 152.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…2f98backed Timberwolves | 52c | 152.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Spurs | 36c | 149.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Timberwolves | 51c | 143.79$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Spurs | 50c | 132$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Spurs | 15c | 129.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs | 43c | 127.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Spurs | 16c | 118.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Spurs | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…95dcbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 106.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 292 | 47.9%140 W · 152 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Spurs | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Spurs | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Spurs | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed Timberwolves | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Timberwolves | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Spurs | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…f3abbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe290…7fb0backed Timberwolves | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd210…92dfbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 216 | 46.3%100 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Spurs | 44c | 98.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9423…4bb6backed Timberwolves | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x922e…7d04backed Timberwolves | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 271 | 62.4%169 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.