TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,457
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,457 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc02a…b43fbacked Yes54c372.23$200 inLost-$2002259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No48c279.99$134 inWon+$145.5956050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No48c273.51$130 inWon+$143.181,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No46c271.7$125 inWon+$146.722,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed No47c206.76$97 inWon+$109.5876247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a91ebacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost-$1009353.8%50 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Yes52c190.63$100 inLost-$1008654.7%47 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9375…5a37backed Yes53c187.7$100 inLost-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-57.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x04e7…332fbacked Yes53c94.34$50 inLost-$501258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Yes53c75.47$40 inLost-$405337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No46c67.87$31 inWon+$36.7343752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa60…3f39backed Yes50c59.42$30 inLost-$301464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b1f…4a6bbacked No47c44.12$21 inWon+$23.382737%10 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes51c37.41$19 inLost-$19.0840053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd76d…c5c6backed Yes53c30$16 inLost-$15.95754.4%31 W · 26 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf6b…256fbacked Yes51c29.23$15 inLost-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed No45c27.26$12 inWon+$14.995058%29 W · 21 L+8.2wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+42.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xda7b…32e1backed No49c24.8$12 inWon+$12.71030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No47c22.06$10 inWon+$11.6990863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x63a4…ef1abacked No56c22.05$12 inWon+$9.71172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked No60c21.62$13 inWon+$8.5921056.7%119 W · 91 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.