NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-12.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb593faca4adfd517171fb2767f519524e629c60a3a8799310cbcda1bee9ddc2

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Timberwolvesof Spurs, Timberwolves
Resolved: May 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $93,774
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $104,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,774 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb915…8da5backed Timberwolves	55c	27,235$14,979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,255.53	104	59.6%62 W · 42 L	+8.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+23%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Spurs	45c	27,126$12,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,206.7	76	50%38 W · 38 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Timberwolves	61c	5,661$3,453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,207.8	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Spurs	40c	5,238$2,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,095.36	118	64.4%76 W · 42 L	+15.6wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Spurs	39c	5,073$1,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,980.27	124	50.8%63 W · 61 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Spurs	39c	4,721$1,841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,841.1	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves	57c	4,640$2,636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,003.54	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves	61c	4,354$2,657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,696.52	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Spurs	45c	2,692$1,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,213.63	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Timberwolves	57c	2,285$1,292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$993.19	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs	44c	2,086$913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$912.77	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves	56c	1,988$1,113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$874.74	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8d…95b0backed Timberwolves	54c	1,691$920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$771.35	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs	37c	1,561$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.63	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Spurs	40c	1,285$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.88	126	46%58 W · 68 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Spurs	33c	1,183$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.45	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs	47c	1,112$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.37	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Timberwolves	55c	909.09$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.09	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Timberwolves	54c	902.72$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.05	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs	32c	810.38$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.11	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Spurs	51c	799.97$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.98	272	46.7%127 W · 145 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs	48c	754.77$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.29	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Timberwolves	53c	754.72$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.72	101	49.5%50 W · 51 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Timberwolves	54c	638.89$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.89	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Timberwolves	66c	606.05$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.06	528	61.9%327 W · 201 L	+32.3wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Spurs	49c	600$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294	355	46.5%165 W · 190 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46c4…1563backed Spurs	47c	578.72$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+17%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Timberwolves	58c	537.8$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.88	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Spurs	17c	531.71$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.42	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Spurs	17c	495$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.37	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Timberwolves	66c	454.54$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.54	469	59.1%277 W · 192 L	+28.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Timberwolves	66c	442$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.28	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Spurs	46c	399.98$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.99	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Timberwolves	53c	372.47$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.06	123	46.3%57 W · 66 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ce…356dbacked Timberwolves	56c	353.54$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.56	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	39cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Timberwolves	71c	353.1$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.13	454	45.2%205 W · 249 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83f0…4209backed Timberwolves	56c	339.4$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.4	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x473d…caabbacked Timberwolves	65c	308$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Spurs	37c	237.74$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.96	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+4.2wins	+0.20per pick	51cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Timberwolves	54c	221.35$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.82	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81d7…32d8backed Spurs	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Timberwolves	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	96	42.7%41 W · 55 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Timberwolves	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	329	57.4%189 W · 140 L	+18.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Timberwolves	69c	195.56$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.82	592	55.4%328 W · 264 L	+23.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf706…20e0backed Timberwolves	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Spurs	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Spurs	44c	160$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	452	51.1%231 W · 221 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Timberwolves	58c	143.55$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.01	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Timberwolves	67c	121.33$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.79	259	58.3%151 W · 108 L	+16.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Timberwolves	59c	108.29$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.75	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1fc…bcfdbacked Spurs	46c	107.61$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-3.3wins	-0.20per pick	52cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Spurs	43c	104.54$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.35	443	47.2%209 W · 234 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Spurs	47c	99.99$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.99	378	48.9%185 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb97…7ae1backed Spurs	37c	94$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.78	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Spurs	40c	89.27$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.71	109	41.3%45 W · 64 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Timberwolves	58c	88$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.96	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc482…f0bebacked Timberwolves	59c	84.75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.75	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.19per pick	45cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f53…acb1backed Timberwolves	55c	83.24$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.46	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Spurs	46c	82.33$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.87	118	50.8%60 W · 58 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Timberwolves	66c	81.96$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.87	890	48.8%434 W · 456 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Spurs	41c	81.4$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	102	40.2%41 W · 61 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Timberwolves	53c	80.85$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Spurs	37c	79.64$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.27	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Spurs	20c	79.32$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.04	130	42.3%55 W · 75 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ff4…7a3abacked Timberwolves	76c	78.51$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.94	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Timberwolves	64c	78.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.16	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Timberwolves	56c	73.32$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.53	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x097c…630abacked Timberwolves	55c	72.73$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.73	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs	42c	71.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	524	61.6%323 W · 201 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Spurs	42c	71.02$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.82	376	47.3%178 W · 198 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Spurs	37c	70.94$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.29	211	49.3%104 W · 107 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Spurs	42c	68.05$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.58	611	51.4%314 W · 297 L	+17.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b7c…4394backed Timberwolves	76c	65.79$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.79	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Spurs	46c	64$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.44	130	47.7%62 W · 68 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Spurs	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	516	51.2%264 W · 252 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08e0…0c66backed Spurs	48c	62.01$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a3c…eed1backed Timberwolves	70c	60$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.3	110	63.6%70 W · 40 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Timberwolves	48c	59.99$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.19	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…ba99backed Spurs	34c	58.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs	39c	56.7$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.11	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Timberwolves	59c	56.41$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.22	210	56.7%119 W · 91 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93a6…0ac9backed Spurs	34c	55.85$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Spurs	43c	55.77$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.98	389	47.6%185 W · 204 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Spurs	42c	51.75$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.74	717	52%373 W · 344 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Timberwolves	53c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	234	45.7%107 W · 127 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f7…b944backed Spurs	23c	48.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.07	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Spurs	40c	47.76$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.09	160	20%32 W · 128 L	-27.0wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x15db…1da8backed Timberwolves	64c	47.16$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.16	116	48.3%56 W · 60 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Spurs	22c	46.52$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.39	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Timberwolves	57c	45$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.35	558	46.8%261 W · 297 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Timberwolves	67c	43.84$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.47	107	61.7%66 W · 41 L	+8.7wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Timberwolves	78c	42.21$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Spurs	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	355	51.3%182 W · 173 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Timberwolves	54c	40.55$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.65	216	40.3%87 W · 129 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d4e…1e3ebacked Timberwolves	54c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.4	50	48%24 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Spurs	43c	39.15$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.78	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Spurs	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe999…199bbacked Spurs	40c	37.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Timberwolves	62c	36.87$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.84	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Spurs	36c	35.59$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.83	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Spurs (-12.5)this page
1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Timberwolves won
1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Timberwolves won
1H Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Timberwolves won
Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 17.5No won
Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5No won
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 16.5No won
Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5No won
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Timberwolves won
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
Timberwolves vs. SpursTimberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Spurs (-12.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event