TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe999…199b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 60 out of 100; worst Champions League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$81.67
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 104.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$49.05
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.5
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.64
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.77
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick28cpaid+131.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$77.14
Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$74.29
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$115
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 1 Nottingham Forest FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.5
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$60.54
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$44.55
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$60.91
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$32.01
Credit One Charleston Open: Peyton Stearns vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
Grand Prix Hassan II: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.99
Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Quentin Halysbacked Karim Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.85
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.98
RC Celta de Vigo leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.