Fifa International · resolved market
Will Albania vs. Luxembourg end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f3d58819575c0d6420066b134177231e387532c257cfc7d03bba9b942ef5258
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 7,297$5,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.86 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 29c | 4,225$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.35 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 71c | 4,155$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.63 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 2,848$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.09 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 77c | 1,266$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.07 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 30c | 1,002$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.62 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 30c | 1,002$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.5 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…db5cbacked Yes | 31c | 850$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 678.04$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.51 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 26c | 588.05$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.89 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 539.3$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.22 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 26c | 499.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 21c | 472.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 397.28$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.38 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 396.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.38 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 14c | 387.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 30c | 326.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked No | 75c | 283$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 264$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 28c | 235.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 23c | 232.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed No | 80c | 187.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a338backed No | 80c | 149.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3e…4cbcbacked No | 75c | 145.08$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 70c | 144.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 74c | 125.56$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 73c | 116$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked No | 73c | 109.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 141 | 19.9%28 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb907…539abacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked No | 75c | 78.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 275 | 38.5%106 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264f…1b98backed No | 74c | 63.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac0…bdb6backed Yes | 23c | 61.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 52.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 51.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…199bbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 27c | 47.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 42.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 27c | 40.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 77c | 35.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9a…1757backed Yes | 31c | 35.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 72c | 28.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 74c | 25.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8801…f667backed No | 73c | 24.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f96backed No | 71c | 23.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc44c…48a4backed No | 73c | 22.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked No | 72c | 20.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 74c | 20.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 138 | 65.2%90 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albania vs. Luxembourg end in a draw?this page
- Will Albania win on 2026-06-06?No won
- Will Luxembourg win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.