TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcac0…bdb6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4032.5%13 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+478%+$86.14
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$22.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.91
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
England to score first vs. France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+168%+$24.45
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.76
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+238.2%+$38.37
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+178.3%+$187.59
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.62
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+110%+$17.14
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$9.69
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.26
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.66
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.12
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.09
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.07
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+141%+$17.94
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$28.44
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.46
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St Johnstone FC win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$280.52
Will St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$10.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+51.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+203.2%+$20.77
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+195.5%+$95.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dana White's Contender Series: Roman Puga vs. Taner Trembley (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Roman Puga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$9.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.