Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x184ca107b54330d8e47c581aebc31426e9063943edd4c98ddafe2eb01307f62b

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,130,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,552,017

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,130,536 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,061 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7225…659abacked Yes	5c	1,169,228$58,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58,461.41	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes	0c	532,828$1,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,155.15	100	12%12 W · 88 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcde3…534dbacked Yes	4c	333,591$13,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,343.65	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50f0…5355backed Yes	5c	299,999$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,999.97	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes	0c	150,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	1c	129,410$1,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,576.04	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	4c	104,207$4,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,199.9	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked Yes	3c	99,557$2,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,929.7	68	19.1%13 W · 55 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes	5c	80,000$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf1…700abacked Yes	0c	69,973$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.63	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0df…69c5backed Yes	4c	45,353$1,815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,815.33	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked Yes	1c	43,895$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.55	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe462…1a2abacked Yes	5c	40,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecdb…ccd0backed Yes	2c	35,159$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc9a…1757backed Yes	5c	33,332$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620.03	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d5…79ddbacked Yes	0c	33,000$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	1c	31,951$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.41	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Yes	1c	27,722$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.1	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5639…a907backed Yes	17c	26,936$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes	0c	26,899$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.14	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	2cpaid	+90.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes	4c	25,841$1,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,111.15	162	44.4%72 W · 90 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec14…5a4ebacked Yes	5c	23,291$1,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,164.54	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes	0c	22,898$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.9	95	3.2%3 W · 92 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	1cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8d…908ebacked Yes	5c	22,500$1,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,012.5	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes	5c	21,417$1,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.45	927	32.1%298 W · 629 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes	5c	21,280$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.75	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Yes	5c	20,902$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	109	27.5%30 W · 79 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2b…96cebacked Yes	0c	20,500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.5	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	1cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x319c…2fb6backed Yes	5c	20,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	16cpaid	+79.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee96…0634backed Yes	5c	20,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fae…4079backed Yes	5c	19,998$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.9	68	33.8%23 W · 45 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c1a…128fbacked Yes	2c	19,560$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	+4.5wins	+0.09per pick	13cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb58…260bbacked Yes	5c	19,439$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes	5c	18,081$904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$904	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2085…60a5backed Yes	1c	16,133$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb5…b542backed Yes	1c	14,907$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b98…5beabacked Yes	1c	14,150$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	19.1%9 W · 38 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…e409backed Yes	1c	13,593$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.56	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xba1f…7157backed Yes	5c	12,504$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d26…7c05backed Yes	5c	12,253$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.63	46	32.6%15 W · 31 L	-5.4wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3199…fdf3backed Yes	1c	12,222$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.88	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes	5c	12,171$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.33	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdae…c02ebacked Yes	1c	11,740$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.53	110	33.6%37 W · 73 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5848…6d5fbacked Yes	1c	11,126$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Yes	9c	10,556$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes	4c	10,450$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418	122	6.6%8 W · 114 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	5c	10,300$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02fa…04d4backed Yes	5c	10,200$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Yes	5c	10,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0043…23cfbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a06…3800backed Yes	5c	10,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Yes	5c	10,000$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.4	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e65…09d2backed Yes	5c	9,722$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.12	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	+19%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5176…9229backed Yes	5c	9,639$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.96	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes	5c	9,523$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.17	736	26.5%195 W · 541 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb289…f2fcbacked Yes	1c	9,498$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.67	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes	5c	9,381$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425	281	34.5%97 W · 184 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	2c	9,371$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.23	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33e9…6c3dbacked Yes	1c	9,254$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.09	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	4cpaid	+144.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc95c…0a21backed Yes	3c	8,286$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b25…ef0fbacked Yes	5c	8,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	47	34%16 W · 31 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d6e…4018backed Yes	2c	7,915$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.91	91	14.3%13 W · 78 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc322…62a4backed Yes	2c	7,746$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6242…841bbacked Yes	4c	7,374$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.61	177	35%62 W · 115 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x776f…9936backed Yes	5c	7,010$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.52	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04c…86f2backed Yes	5c	6,972$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.04	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes	5c	6,821$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.48	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x636b…dcbfbacked Yes	0c	6,622$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	+57%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd38…4712backed Yes	5c	6,400$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x248c…26b6backed Yes	4c	6,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb796…f221backed Yes	5c	6,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x808f…b31abacked Yes	5c	5,996$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.78	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb79…47a9backed Yes	3c	5,879$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.91	57	26.3%15 W · 42 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfa0…34eebacked Yes	4c	5,824$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a4…35d3backed Yes	5c	5,671$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Yes	5c	5,640$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-6.4wins	-0.17per pick	49cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Yes	4c	5,516$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.82	275	43.6%120 W · 155 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999f…4ae5backed Yes	5c	5,500$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	68	5.9%4 W · 64 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes	0c	5,099$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.12	193	32.1%62 W · 131 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe18…3980backed Yes	1c	5,089$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.02	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes	2c	5,078$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.17	455	28.4%129 W · 326 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes	5c	5,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	5,000$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	80	3.8%3 W · 77 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c01…f7a7backed Yes	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	82	30.5%25 W · 57 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb341…fd07backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90f8…64c9backed Yes	5c	5,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	232	24.1%56 W · 176 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-36%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Yes	4c	5,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked Yes	4c	5,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	188	43.6%82 W · 106 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb868…f7dfbacked Yes	2c	4,968$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.8	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	5cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa969…0014backed Yes	1c	4,787$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29af…6307backed Yes	2c	4,684$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x386b…4f0abacked Yes	4c	4,607$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe06b…def9backed Yes	5c	4,587$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.36	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No	67c	4,500$3,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,485	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da8…2a95backed Yes	5c	4,434$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.71	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x293f…26a1backed Yes	5c	4,326$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	51	23.5%12 W · 39 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes	4c	4,323$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.6	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd483…ac25backed Yes	5c	4,248$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.39	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes	1c	4,242$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.42	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Yes	5c	4,111$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.97	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?this page
Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes won
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event