Fifa International · resolved market
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad3441638abca4aa830cb997b7caea5f3c8b84be06b99173781cb9a47c5cbc5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,700,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,939,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,700,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,538 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 18c | 937,114$172,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172,652.72 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 19c | 666,997$124,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124,899.54 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 17c | 550,958$95,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,110.64 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…659abacked No | 18c | 486,173$87,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,511.17 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 20c | 367,686$73,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,003.29 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 26c | 361,077$92,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,203.91 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 19c | 333,028$63,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,830.5 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked No | 23c | 269,008$61,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,516.14 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 16c | 178,336$29,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,040.22 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 67c | 177,023$119,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,011.41 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed No | 18c | 172,957$31,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,132.24 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 18c | 124,774$22,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,400.1 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 16c | 108,307$17,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,695.32 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…c92bbacked No | 18c | 104,957$18,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,892.27 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 21c | 102,326$21,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,139.65 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed No | 16c | 99,997$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,999.59 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked No | 16c | 99,996$15,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,999.29 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 39c | 99,793$39,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,078.25 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes | 80c | 93,937$74,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,970.52 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 18c | 93,544$16,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,652.49 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 18c | 87,160$15,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,975.7 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…526fbacked Yes | 79c | 80,000$63,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,599.98 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 17c | 74,741$12,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,705.9 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Yes | 72c | 68,897$49,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,015.22 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 16c | 68,759$11,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,309.28 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 18c | 67,293$12,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,064.91 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 17c | 59,999$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.91 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 76c | 51,014$38,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,189.04 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 72c | 50,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,999.97 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…a463backed No | 16c | 49,998$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.69 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked No | 32c | 47,089$15,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,068.5 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +86%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 19c | 46,729$8,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,878.48 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…dea6backed Yes | 68c | 45,118$30,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,430.66 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…bf33backed Yes | 79c | 44,660$35,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,378.63 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Yes | 63c | 42,537$26,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,653.26 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 16c | 42,416$6,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,576.29 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 79c | 41,809$32,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,939.59 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed No | 21c | 38,400$8,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,115.23 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe18…3be4backed Yes | 65c | 37,939$24,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,448.6 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes | 73c | 35,402$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,402.88 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 37c | 34,940$13,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,078.87 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Yes | 68c | 34,938$23,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,268.31 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…80dfbacked No | 18c | 34,238$6,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,162.84 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed No | 6c | 33,985$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.74 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 17c | 30,500$5,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,184.95 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 69c | 30,005$20,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,435.06 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…19f3backed No | 17c | 29,462$5,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,008.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked No | 25c | 28,646$7,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,086.73 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 76c | 28,440$21,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,787.59 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd4…4304backed Yes | 79c | 28,105$22,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,782.71 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed No | 18c | 27,188$4,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,893.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 17c | 26,400$4,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,488 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0288…e926backed Yes | 76c | 26,145$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,144.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…2816backed No | 31c | 24,494$7,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,474.3 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…bd42backed Yes | 80c | 23,750$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…eab7backed No | 21c | 23,131$4,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,857.27 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked No | 17c | 20,434$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,473.83 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a7…8105backed No | 18c | 20,227$3,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640.86 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes | 65c | 19,075$12,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,719.82 | 229 | 33.6%77 W · 152 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…26eebacked Yes | 79c | 18,999$15,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,969.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 65c | 18,662$12,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,570.84 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…b37bbacked No | 17c | 18,601$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162.09 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 70c | 18,544$12,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,568.44 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 14c | 17,225$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.43 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 18c | 17,197$3,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,095.37 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 59c | 16,900$9,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,929 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…2601backed No | 21c | 16,468$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.26 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 17c | 16,335$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776.95 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 17c | 16,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 17c | 16,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 17c | 16,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed No | 16c | 15,860$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.53 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes | 63c | 15,807$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,806.61 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…fb3dbacked No | 1c | 15,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 19c | 14,254$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.74 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed No | 18c | 14,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5451…616cbacked No | 22c | 13,636$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 16c | 13,294$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.46 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 17c | 12,940$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.77 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 17c | 12,600$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 23c | 12,490$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.61 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed No | 17c | 12,282$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.06 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Yes | 66c | 12,254$8,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,106.26 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 17c | 12,118$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…3824backed No | 17c | 12,100$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.99 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 17c | 12,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 17c | 12,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed No | 35c | 12,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…3c83backed No | 16c | 11,904$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.63 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…1762backed No | 17c | 11,765$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 68c | 11,765$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,764.71 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 17c | 11,764$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.88 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…a690backed No | 16c | 11,480$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 7c | 11,410$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.52 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9fcdbacked No | 4c | 11,257$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.72 | 197 | 38.1%75 W · 122 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 17c | 11,132$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.44 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…43c2backed Yes | 72c | 11,000$7,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed No | 17c | 11,000$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…f2a3backed No | 17c | 11,000$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed No | 17c | 10,753$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France win on 2026-07-04?this page
- Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?No won
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.