Fifa International · resolved market
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x001649e0865024e6e86bc14c95de5dfd2dfec30513565d5cf3462faf9aa54d43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,563,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,430,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,563,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7225…659abacked Yes | 24c | 826,746$201,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201,433.45 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 75c | 600,000$453,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146,999.99 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 13c | 201,418$26,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,810.6 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Yes | 24c | 125,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 78,416$10,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,124.11 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…1a6ebacked Yes | 25c | 49,417$12,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,354.28 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked No | 75c | 45,000$33,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,250 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 79c | 40,109$31,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,418.53 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 25c | 40,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 79c | 38,614$30,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,061.39 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…73cebacked Yes | 13c | 31,061$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 7c | 30,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked Yes | 7c | 30,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 13c | 25,484$3,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,313.27 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 77c | 25,328$19,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,896.63 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Yes | 29c | 20,404$6,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,017.22 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +86%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…c3bbbacked Yes | 29c | 17,241$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 13c | 15,580$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.56 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed Yes | 24c | 14,610$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,533 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…b2adbacked Yes | 13c | 14,252$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23e…98a4backed Yes | 15c | 13,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Yes | 23c | 12,613$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.27 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…776bbacked Yes | 13c | 12,308$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 13c | 11,239$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.31 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Yes | 30c | 11,110$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…43c2backed No | 76c | 11,000$8,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes | 14c | 10,714$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 22c | 9,618$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 28c | 9,494$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635.08 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 67c | 9,341$6,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.76 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 76c | 8,866$6,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.89 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Yes | 23c | 8,738$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.83 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes | 14c | 8,725$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.51 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 4c | 8,549$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.36 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3608…b13dbacked Yes | 13c | 8,462$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Yes | 12c | 8,400$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.95 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7992…1fc1backed Yes | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 12c | 7,928$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.93 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 80c | 7,860$6,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.69 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d8…94e7backed Yes | 13c | 7,692$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 7,446$5,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.49 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 14c | 7,343$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…d8edbacked Yes | 27c | 7,251$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.74 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 13c | 6,858$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.54 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 72c | 6,761$4,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.61 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 13c | 6,757$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.42 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Yes | 30c | 6,667$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…d996backed Yes | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Yes | 26c | 6,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.39 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…2816backed Yes | 3c | 5,958$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.57 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…728fbacked Yes | 25c | 5,883$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.65 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…4a00backed Yes | 2c | 5,829$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 9c | 5,178$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.82 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed No | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…4fd2backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…038fbacked Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 14c | 4,813$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.35 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…2dd7backed No | 66c | 4,650$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Yes | 13c | 4,615$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 18c | 4,535$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.02 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes | 16c | 4,505$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 281 | 34.5%97 W · 184 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…240cbacked Yes | 14c | 4,286$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1a…128fbacked Yes | 8c | 4,151$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Yes | 13c | 4,148$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 335 | 44.5%149 W · 186 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…bb32backed Yes | 15c | 4,060$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 76c | 4,040$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.6 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.6wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…f41cbacked Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf507…07e3backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes | 6c | 3,900$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 10c | 3,782$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.54 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 13c | 3,443$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.87 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 76c | 3,401$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.42 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f9…c491backed Yes | 13c | 3,384$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…1daebacked Yes | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…9aadbacked Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed Yes | 9c | 3,249$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.45 | 197 | 37.6%74 W · 123 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0d…bec9backed Yes | 25c | 3,226$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.57 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…b29fbacked Yes | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 14c | 3,119$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…440bbacked Yes | 12c | 3,098$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.25 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d4a0backed Yes | 19c | 3,097$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.43 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Yes | 13c | 3,077$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 266 | 44%117 W · 149 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…7245backed Yes | 13c | 3,077$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…1c3abacked Yes | 13c | 3,056$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 3,009$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.21 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…841bbacked Yes | 8c | 3,009$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.76 | 177 | 35%62 W · 115 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 14c | 3,001$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.14 | 142 | 26.8%38 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597b…a872backed Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 5c | 3,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 365 | 39.7%145 W · 220 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 19c | 2,875$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b98…5beabacked Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 32c | 2,857$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.38 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,800$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Yes | 23c | 2,793$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.33 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…2960backed Yes | 11c | 2,762$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x408a…5f42backed Yes | 32c | 2,701$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Yes | 37c | 2,676$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?this page
- Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes won
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.