TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd344…6862

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,935Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$3,091.56
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,075
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$749.96
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.37
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,915Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,915
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$897Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+234.8%+$2,107.5
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,077Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$5,077
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,835Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$3,262.22
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens backed Habs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$266.08
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,975Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$6,218.88
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$889Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$925.16
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,623Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,623
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+193%+$6,753.92
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,575Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$4,561.36
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning backed Habs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$5,761Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+198.5%+$11,437.51
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,979.97
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,366.01
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,773.58
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+726.4%+$9,879.67
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$2,938.27
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,054.05
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,030.3
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,033.33
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$887.05
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$2,125
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,025.99
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$985.07
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$2,030.3
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$666.67
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,941.18
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+97%+$970.44
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,250
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,640Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$5,009.37
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.02
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$1,025
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)backed Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,173.91
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$3,672.41
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,066.67
Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.83
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,892.31
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Sheltonbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$700.92
New Delhi: Felix Gill vs Petr Bar Biryukovbacked Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+203%+$6,090.91
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+64.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+96.2%+$1,013.07
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+143.9%+$590
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$439.99
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+104.1%+$1,274.99
All 5 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,999.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$720
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$420
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked Dominican Rep. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$820
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$122
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.