Music · resolved market
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x181dc5943f9727ca5d89cb2c692f8654ee616571791892e4e87112188d6a26f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,327,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,960,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,327,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 726 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd30b…fd73backed Yes | 18c | 163,786$29,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,040.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 89,404$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314d…65bfbacked Yes | 4c | 75,995$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…d5ecbacked Yes | 15c | 57,504$8,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,816.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 2c | 57,090$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…6cc0backed Yes | 7c | 56,724$3,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,805.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3769…2799backed Yes | 3c | 50,964$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 6c | 38,558$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3d…12e7backed Yes | 11c | 32,762$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2292…304ebacked Yes | 3c | 31,144$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 21,563$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.66 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +530.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…6c64backed Yes | 5c | 21,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120c…2aeabacked Yes | 16c | 21,101$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb704…dc1ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…1b3ebacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…4eb7backed Yes | 25c | 19,427$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811.84 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…4745backed Yes | 16c | 18,438$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 25c | 18,280$4,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,573.37 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1589…688bbacked Yes | 26c | 15,109$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…f98fbacked Yes | 29c | 15,032$4,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 15,003$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d7…6547backed Yes | 2c | 14,789$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 26c | 14,745$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.92 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…4dc1backed Yes | 29c | 13,967$4,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,090.41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…12b4backed Yes | 25c | 13,799$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 3c | 13,460$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.96 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ef…5232backed Yes | 38c | 13,100$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…805bbacked Yes | 4c | 12,516$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…1f2dbacked Yes | 26c | 12,228$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…dceebacked Yes | 2c | 11,780$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482f…f849backed Yes | 3c | 11,659$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 22c | 11,006$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 9c | 10,982$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.4 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +196.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa836…1c10backed Yes | 26c | 10,941$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 25c | 10,876$2,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,742.88 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +104%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 11c | 10,635$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.13 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b91…f577backed Yes | 0c | 10,234$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a6…3055backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…639ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf905…baeabacked Yes | 4c | 9,597$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c4…4b34backed Yes | 21c | 9,245$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1b…b263backed Yes | 4c | 9,240$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Yes | 27c | 8,510$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Yes | 24c | 8,479$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Yes | 24c | 8,331$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 7c | 8,114$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…ab03backed Yes | 3c | 8,073$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d3…f399backed Yes | 14c | 8,067$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8218…d861backed Yes | 26c | 7,823$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 3c | 7,809$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Yes | 2c | 7,714$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4580…16e3backed Yes | 2c | 7,647$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8b…a53ebacked Yes | 15c | 7,536$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 2c | 7,475$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…1846backed Yes | 3c | 7,321$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa839…470cbacked Yes | 3c | 7,239$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3455…ddccbacked Yes | 3c | 7,150$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…46d0backed Yes | 23c | 7,137$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f2c0backed Yes | 28c | 7,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…ac62backed Yes | 3c | 6,700$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…3fb4backed Yes | 11c | 6,631$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2762…d65abacked Yes | 8c | 6,512$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 43c | 6,483$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…98a6backed Yes | 30c | 6,268$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…c6e3backed Yes | 31c | 6,114$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 74c | 6,000$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 21c | 5,917$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 25c | 5,891$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad7…e72bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,811$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…923dbacked Yes | 6c | 5,649$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.61 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…d5f9backed Yes | 31c | 5,600$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…a6f5backed Yes | 25c | 5,558$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b8…26e0backed Yes | 1c | 5,449$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…b98dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,377$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c9…7afcbacked Yes | 5c | 5,260$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…9561backed Yes | 4c | 5,210$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe917…4944backed Yes | 21c | 5,178$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…26d4backed Yes | 22c | 5,047$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 26c | 4,990$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.91 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…4b53backed Yes | 4c | 4,969$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 2cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…562fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,927$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc64…609ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,867$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 8c | 4,707$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 71c | 4,533$3,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.89 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe99c…aff1backed Yes | 22c | 4,454$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…ebcbbacked Yes | 4c | 4,263$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…32a0backed Yes | 30c | 4,215$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 25c | 4,192$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes | 34c | 4,000$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b98…df12backed Yes | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed No | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Yes | 28c | 3,977$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec02…c45bbacked Yes | 25c | 3,937$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e9…8b44backed No | 75c | 3,760$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…dfa4backed Yes | 19c | 3,756$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3dc…443bbacked Yes | 27c | 3,718$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +84%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…d186backed Yes | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef9…7033backed Yes | 3c | 3,594$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,417$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…46aebacked Yes | 1c | 3,333$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?this page
- Will Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes won
- Will Billie Eilish be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Chris Brown be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Coldplay be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Dua Lipa be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Ed Sheeran be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Eminem be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Justin Bieber be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Rihanna be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Ye be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.