Music · resolved market
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c4d91aed42846e9b50bb9b5bd2eb1c4160d721ef39529f209bc3c37b17ad601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,534,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,534,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6261…e04dbacked Yes | 0c | 90,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc45c…7db9backed Yes | 0c | 35,863$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb447…d850backed Yes | 0c | 35,863$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…9a23backed Yes | 0c | 35,863$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…2dd9backed Yes | 0c | 35,863$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…892bbacked Yes | 0c | 35,863$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…3913backed Yes | 0c | 34,288$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…229abacked Yes | 0c | 33,791$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6632…68b2backed Yes | 0c | 33,764$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7043…1425backed Yes | 0c | 33,632$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd0…8ec4backed Yes | 0c | 33,567$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…b7f7backed Yes | 0c | 33,356$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 32,500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…cddfbacked Yes | 0c | 32,343$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…c54fbacked Yes | 0c | 32,070$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a9…e540backed Yes | 0c | 23,909$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…ccf9backed Yes | 0c | 23,909$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…8c38backed Yes | 0c | 23,909$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f7…e246backed Yes | 0c | 23,909$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5588…c32abacked Yes | 0c | 23,909$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb356…dd53backed Yes | 0c | 23,909$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2650…c7abbacked Yes | 0c | 23,909$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…1a02backed Yes | 0c | 23,909$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f0…1946backed Yes | 0c | 23,909$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…7821backed Yes | 0c | 23,909$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…dd16backed Yes | 0c | 23,909$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…a99bbacked Yes | 0c | 23,909$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe213…1a89backed Yes | 0c | 23,909$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…cb96backed Yes | 0c | 23,909$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…d598backed Yes | 0c | 23,909$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…ce2ebacked Yes | 0c | 23,909$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe959…ada1backed Yes | 0c | 23,868$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…e37fbacked Yes | 0c | 23,868$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…9906backed Yes | 0c | 23,868$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c0…4f8cbacked Yes | 0c | 23,868$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…bd49backed Yes | 0c | 23,272$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a7…428ebacked Yes | 0c | 23,272$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c60…d010backed Yes | 0c | 23,272$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…aadfbacked Yes | 0c | 23,272$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…2532backed Yes | 0c | 23,272$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd94f…8235backed Yes | 0c | 23,272$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…302ebacked Yes | 0c | 23,272$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb0…6defbacked Yes | 0c | 23,272$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x395d…6360backed Yes | 0c | 23,272$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…bac4backed Yes | 0c | 23,272$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 0c | 23,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…74f4backed Yes | 0c | 20,525$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2660…c2e6backed Yes | 0c | 20,442$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0c…4312backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…f2d0backed Yes | 0c | 13,989$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…df0dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kendrick Lamar be the top Spotify artist for 2025?this page
- Will Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes won
- Will Billie Eilish be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Chris Brown be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Coldplay be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Dua Lipa be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Ed Sheeran be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Eminem be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Justin Bieber be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Rihanna be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Ye be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.